Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-19 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-08-19
0 activated plays
Gap rows 321
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-08-20 Older: 2026-08-18

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-30 2026-08-29 2026-08-28

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker

Value Score 52.5
Odds / Gap +590 / +9.66%
1+ HR 24.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.215x

Value Rank #2

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt

Value Score 46.5
Odds / Gap +715 / +9.44%
1+ HR 21.7%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.117x

Value Rank #3

Daylen Lile

Strong

WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker

Value Score 43.8
Odds / Gap +770 / +9.26%
1+ HR 20.8%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.215x

Value Rank #4

Luis García Jr.

Strong

WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker

Value Score 43.2
Odds / Gap +675 / +8.79%
1+ HR 21.7%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.215x

Value Rank #5

Brandon Nimmo

Play

TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli

Value Score 41.3
Odds / Gap +515 / +6.80%
1+ HR 23.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.215x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+9.66%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+9.55%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+9.55%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+9.44%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+9.44%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+9.44%
12.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +9.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1150
+9.26%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+9.19%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+9.19%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +8.79%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+8.79%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+8.79%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+8.70%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+8.64%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+8.53%
10.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+8.48%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.9
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+7.75%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+7.75%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+7.68%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -895
+7.47%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+7.47%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+7.37%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs SD | Michael King | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+7.38%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+7.30%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+7.30%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+7.25%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+7.16%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+7.16%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.12%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+7.12%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+7.12%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+7.04%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+7.02%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+6.96%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+6.89%
11.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+6.93%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+6.82%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+6.82%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.4
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+6.92%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+6.81%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+6.81%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+6.80%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+6.67%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+6.53%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.70%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+6.70%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+5.36%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-9.92%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.62%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+6.62%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+4.91%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-9.44%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+6.59%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+6.47%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+6.47%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+6.56%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+6.43%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+6.43%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+6.26%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+6.19%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+6.19%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.4
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs SD | Michael King | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+6.26%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+6.17%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+6.17%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+6.26%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+6.14%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+6.14%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+6.17%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+6.17%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+6.09%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+5.87%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+5.87%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.78%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1055
+5.84%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1120
+5.76%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+5.76%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.2
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.63%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+5.63%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+5.47%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+5.47%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+5.52%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+5.42%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+5.42%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+5.39%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+5.39%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+5.39%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+5.39%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+5.25%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+5.11%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+5.33%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+5.03%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+5.03%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -720
+5.15%
15.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +510 / U -675
+5.02%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+5.02%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.12%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.12%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.04%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.04%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+5.10%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
+4.97%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+4.97%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+5.10%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -770
+4.99%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+4.99%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.03%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+5.03%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+4.92%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+4.92%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.85%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +240 / U -285
+4.85%
28.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +250 / U -310
+3.27%
27.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +245 / U --
-7.87%
29.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+4.76%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+4.65%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+4.59%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+4.73%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+4.63%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+4.63%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+4.66%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+4.54%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+4.54%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.65%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+4.65%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+3.37%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-7.71%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+4.64%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+4.64%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+4.64%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1405
+4.59%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1485
+4.43%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+4.43%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.51%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+4.42%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.42%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.49%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+4.49%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+4.49%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+4.49%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs CHC | Clay Holmes | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.44%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -400
+4.44%
22.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -430
+3.31%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-7.70%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +4.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+4.43%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+4.43%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+4.35%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+4.37%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+4.25%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+4.25%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andy Pages headshot

Andy Pages
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +4.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.35%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -910
+4.35%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
+4.25%
14.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+4.28%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+4.28%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+4.28%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+4.08%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+3.96%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+3.96%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+3.84%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+3.51%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.51%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs CHC | Clay Holmes | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+3.57%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+3.57%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+3.57%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs SD | Michael King | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+3.53%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+3.25%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+3.25%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.44%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.44%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+2.10%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-6.66%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs SD | Michael King | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+3.38%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+3.19%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+3.00%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.23%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+3.23%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+3.09%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+3.04%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.5
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+3.17%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.01%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+2.96%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.11%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.95%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+2.79%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+2.88%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+2.75%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+2.75%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -575
+2.80%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+2.62%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -540
+2.44%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -865
+2.66%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -920
+2.66%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+2.56%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+2.55%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+2.40%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+2.40%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+2.23%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+2.11%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+2.11%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.3
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+2.08%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+1.98%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+1.98%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.96%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+1.79%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.79%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+1.91%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.77%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.77%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+1.87%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+1.54%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.54%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+1.87%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
+0.86%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-5.22%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.81%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+1.81%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+1.62%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+1.43%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.81%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+1.81%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
+0.80%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-5.10%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.75%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+1.75%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+1.62%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+1.49%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.62%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.46%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.46%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+1.61%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.29%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.29%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+1.60%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.46%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.46%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+1.37%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.23%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.23%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+1.26%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+0.95%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+0.95%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+1.12%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+0.95%
18.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+0.78%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.02%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 23.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
+1.02%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
+0.77%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
+0.51%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+0.73%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.26%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-4.02%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+0.71%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+0.59%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+0.59%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+0.68%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.54%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+0.40%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -450
+0.64%
21.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-0.30%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-3.97%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.61%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.61%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.61%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.8
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.59%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.09%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.09%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.1
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.50%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+0.50%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
+0.37%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+0.37%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+0.43%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+0.32%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+0.32%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs CHC | Clay Holmes | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.42%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.42%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.42%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.40%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.24%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+0.08%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+0.37%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+0.16%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-0.05%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs DET | Jackson Jobe | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
+0.37%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
+0.15%
21.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.08%
20.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -690
+0.34%
16.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +495 / U --
+0.20%
16.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+0.06%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.29%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.14%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.02%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.9
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+0.23%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+0.10%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.10%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
+0.15%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.03%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.22%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+0.14%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
-0.23%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
-0.23%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+0.09%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
-0.08%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
-0.12%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.6
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.00%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.46%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.70%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
-0.07%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-0.43%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.43%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
-0.20%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
-0.37%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
-0.55%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.53%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.84%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.84%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.63%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -410
-0.63%
22.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-1.72%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-2.75%
23.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.65%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.68%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.70%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.84%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 5.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.84%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.34%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-2.66%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 102.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.89%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-0.89%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-1.09%
20.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-1.29%
19.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs SD | Michael King | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-1.28%
22.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +310 / U -375
-1.48%
23.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-1.57%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-1.36%
22.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-1.63%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-1.88%
22.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.51%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-1.51%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-1.68%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-1.71%
20.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs CHC | Clay Holmes | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.54%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.96%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-1.96%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.2

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 460
Latest Date 2026-09-04
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-04
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 303 matched
0 unmatched
 7 / 77 / 41
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bobby Witt Jr. | 34.3
 --
Signals --
2026-09-03
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 126 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 34 / 32
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Jarren Duran | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-02
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 276 matched
0 unmatched
 18 / 77 / 58
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 53.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-01
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 273 matched
0 unmatched
 28 / 51 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-31
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 213 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 74 / 57
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-30
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 66 / 93
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Jarren Duran | 50.4
 --
Signals --
2026-08-29
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 237 matched
18 unmatched
 6 / 44 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Freddie Freeman | 40.0
 --
Signals --
2026-08-28
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 243 matched
0 unmatched
 6 / 35 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 36.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%