Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-30 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-08-30

0 activated plays

Gap rows 312

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2026-08-31 Older: 2026-08-29

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-29 2026-08-28 2026-08-27

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs NYY | Will Warren

Value Score 50.4

Odds / Gap +715 / +10.01%

1+ HR 22.3%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.174x

Value Rank #2

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk

Value Score 46.1

Odds / Gap +590 / +8.72%

1+ HR 23.2%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.207x

Value Rank #3

Andrew Benintendi

Strong

CWS vs MIN | Zebby Matthews

Value Score 38.4

Odds / Gap +640 / +7.93%

1+ HR 21.4%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.086x

Value Rank #4

Adley Rutschman

Strong

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs

Value Score 38.3

Odds / Gap +710 / +8.22%

1+ HR 20.6%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.087x

Value Rank #5

Luis García Jr.

Strong

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk

Value Score 37.1

Odds / Gap +675 / +7.90%

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.207x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jarren Duran

BOS vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +10.01%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+10.01%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+10.01%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+10.01%

12.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Cj Abrams

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +8.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 23.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+8.72%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+8.61%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+8.61%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +8.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +890 / U -1410

+8.56%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +875 / U -1495

+8.40%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +875 / U --

+8.40%

10.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ryan Mountcastle

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 7

Strong

Best Gap +8.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +830 / U -1280

+8.56%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +820 / U -1355

+8.44%

10.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +820 / U --

+8.44%

10.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 3

Strong

Best Gap +8.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1150

+8.41%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+8.34%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+8.34%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.3

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +8.22%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+8.22%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +705 / U -1090

+8.15%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+8.15%

12.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+7.93%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+7.93%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+7.93%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+7.90%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+7.90%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+7.81%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Colt Keith

DET vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +7.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1260

+7.78%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1335

+7.66%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+7.66%

11.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Roman Anthony

BOS vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 2

Strong

Best Gap +7.68%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+7.68%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+7.68%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+7.60%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.57%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +880 / U -1395

+7.57%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+7.46%

10.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +865 / U -1475

+7.41%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.4

Alec Bohm

PHI vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.47%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +775 / U -1155

+7.47%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1225

+7.34%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+7.34%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1055

+6.73%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1120

+6.65%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+6.65%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.3

Daniel Schneemann

CLE vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.69%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +810 / U -1230

+6.69%

10.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +800 / U -1305

+6.57%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +800 / U --

+6.57%

11.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.68%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1360

+6.68%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +855 / U --

+6.57%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1435

+6.51%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

William Contreras

MIL vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+6.33%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+6.33%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+6.33%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Trea Turner

PHI vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.30%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+6.30%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -745

+6.19%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+6.19%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.13%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+6.13%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+6.04%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+6.04%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +6.07%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+6.07%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -770

+5.96%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+5.96%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.02%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+6.02%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+5.89%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+5.89%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.02%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+6.02%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+5.94%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+5.94%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.95%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +240 / U -285

+5.95%

28.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +250 / U -310

+4.37%

27.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +245 / U --

-8.97%

29.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach McKinstry

DET vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.77%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1715

+5.77%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+5.61%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1810

+5.56%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.4

Edouard Julien

COL vs ATL | Tyler Mahle | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +790 / U -1195

+5.74%

10.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +785 / U -1270

+5.68%

10.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +785 / U --

+5.68%

11.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.65%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+5.65%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+5.51%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+5.46%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.4

Yandy Díaz

TB vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.39%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+5.39%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+5.27%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+5.27%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.30%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+5.30%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+5.30%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.30%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Aaron Judge

NYY vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.26%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 22.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +215 / U -255

+5.26%

30.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +230 / U -280

+3.41%

29.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +220 / U --

-8.34%

31.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Bo Naylor

CLE vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+5.21%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -915

+5.21%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

+5.21%

13.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +595 / U -865

+5.09%

13.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +590 / U -810

+4.99%

14.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +590 / U --

+4.99%

14.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Evan Carter

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.08%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1175

+5.08%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +775 / U -1245

+5.01%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +775 / U --

+5.01%

11.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brenton Doyle

COL vs ATL | Tyler Mahle | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.98%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +705 / U -1015

+4.98%

12.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1080

+4.90%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +700 / U --

+4.90%

12.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wyatt Langford

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.91%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+4.91%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+4.80%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+4.80%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brandon Nimmo

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -715

+4.78%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+4.65%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +505 / U -670

+4.51%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Josh Naylor

SEA vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.62%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+4.62%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+4.48%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+4.48%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.61%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

+4.61%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

+4.49%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+4.49%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Steven Kwan

CLE vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +4.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1720

+4.58%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+4.42%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1815

+4.37%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.7

James Wood

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +4.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+4.51%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+4.21%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+4.21%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs ATL | Tyler Mahle | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.43%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -950

+4.43%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1010

+4.43%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +665 / U --

+4.35%

13.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.3

Josh Bell

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.43%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+4.43%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+4.31%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+4.31%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willi Castro

COL vs ATL | Tyler Mahle | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +885 / U -1400

+4.41%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +870 / U -1480

+4.25%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+4.25%

10.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1

Christian Yelich

MIL vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.40%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -665

+4.40%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+4.25%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+4.25%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Cronenworth

SD vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +4.39%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +905 / U -1450

+4.39%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +890 / U -1535

+4.24%

9.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +890 / U --

+4.24%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.6

Nick Castellanos

SD vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.24%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -825

+4.24%

14.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +570 / U -775

+4.12%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

+4.12%

14.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Trevor Larnach

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +4.24%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +705 / U -1020

+4.24%

12.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +705 / U -1085

+4.24%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +700 / U --

+4.16%

12.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mookie Betts

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.13%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -695

+4.13%

15.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+3.99%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -655

+3.85%

16.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.02%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 19.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +280 / U -335

+4.02%

25.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +290 / U -365

+2.54%

24.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +285 / U --

-7.00%

26.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Freddie Freeman

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.99%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -720

+3.99%

15.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +510 / U -675

+3.86%

15.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+3.86%

16.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.86%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.86%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.86%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.86%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nick Kurtz

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.85%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+3.85%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

+2.51%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-7.07%

27.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Caballero

NYY vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1130 / U -2055

+3.73%

7.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1100 / U --

+3.53%

8.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1090 / U -2165

+3.46%

8.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.8

José Tena

WSH vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.73%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.73%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.73%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+3.73%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+3.57%

18.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

+3.41%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jackson Merrill

SD vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.54%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+3.54%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+3.41%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+3.41%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nolan Schanuel

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +3.49%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 12.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1035 / U -1785

+3.49%

8.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1015 / U --

+3.33%

9.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1005 / U -1885

+3.25%

8.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.44%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+3.44%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+3.14%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+3.14%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andy Pages

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +3.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+3.41%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -910

+3.41%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +615 / U --

+3.31%

14.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.9

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.34%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+3.34%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+3.21%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+3.21%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Cody Bellinger

NYY vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.25%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+3.25%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+3.11%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+2.97%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.25%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -975

+3.25%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +650 / U -920

+3.17%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+3.17%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Lawrence Butler

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.17%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +545 / U -775

+3.17%

14.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +540 / U -725

+3.05%

15.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

+3.05%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Riley Greene

DET vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -600

+3.16%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

+2.99%

18.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -560

+2.82%

18.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Joc Pederson

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.00%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -830

+3.00%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -780

+2.90%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+2.90%

14.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

+2.89%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

+2.78%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

+2.78%

14.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.87%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+2.87%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+2.73%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+2.73%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.86%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+2.86%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+2.69%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+2.51%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jacob Wilson

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1005 / U -1700

+2.58%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +985 / U --

+2.41%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1795

+2.37%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.3

Spencer Torkelson

DET vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+2.44%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+2.30%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+2.16%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adolis García

PHI vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+2.27%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+2.10%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+1.92%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

George Springer

TOR vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.22%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+2.22%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+1.91%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+1.91%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Ramírez

CLE vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +395 / U -520

+2.18%

19.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

+1.97%

20.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +385 / U -485

+1.76%

19.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luke Keaschall

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1255

+1.91%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1330

+1.79%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+1.79%

11.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.1

Junior Caminero

TB vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.88%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +335 / U -415

+1.88%

22.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -445

+0.81%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +340 / U --

-5.19%

22.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Teoscar Hernández

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.66%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -575

+1.66%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

+1.48%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -540

+1.30%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -670

+1.61%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+1.46%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+1.46%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Manzardo

CLE vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -650

+1.27%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+1.12%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -610

+0.96%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +275 / U -330

+1.23%

25.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +285 / U -355

-0.05%

25.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +280 / U --

-4.29%

26.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.19%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+1.04%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.88%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach Neto

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +490 / U -670

+1.07%

16.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+0.93%

17.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -630

+0.78%

16.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryce Harper

PHI vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.02%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

+1.02%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

+0.84%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -540

+0.66%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Tucker

LAD vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.88%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -610

+0.88%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+0.71%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+0.71%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.65%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +320 / U -390

+0.65%

23.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +330 / U -420

-0.53%

22.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +325 / U --

-3.77%

23.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.52%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -575

+0.52%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

+0.34%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

+0.16%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Colson Montgomery

CWS vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+0.49%

22.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -430

-0.64%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-3.75%

23.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.48%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.48%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.48%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.48%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.5

Kerry Carpenter

DET vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +400 / U -530

+0.44%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

+0.24%

20.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +390 / U -495

+0.03%

19.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Royce Lewis

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.35%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+0.35%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+0.22%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+0.22%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jo Adell

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +405 / U -515

+0.18%

19.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +415 / U -550

-0.70%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

-3.53%

19.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Manny Machado

SD vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

+0.18%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

+0.00%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -545

-0.18%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Soler

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+0.11%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

-0.04%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

-0.19%

16.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.03%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+0.03%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -695

-0.10%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

-0.10%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.02%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -630

-0.02%

17.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +460 / U --

-0.18%

17.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -590

-0.34%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -465

-0.07%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-0.31%

22.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +350 / U -435

-0.55%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.18%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.18%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.18%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.4

Byron Buxton

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -465

-0.37%

20.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +385 / U -500

-1.40%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-2.98%

21.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.75%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-0.75%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-1.00%

22.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-1.26%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shea Langeliers

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.82%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-0.82%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +390 / U -505

-1.83%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-2.47%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brent Rooker

ATH vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.87%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -480

-0.87%

20.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

-1.10%

21.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +360 / U -450

-1.33%

21.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corey Seager

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.95%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-0.95%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-1.20%

22.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-1.46%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Wallner

MIN vs CWS | Jordan Hicks | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.03%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +405 / U -535

-1.03%

19.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +400 / U --

-1.23%

20.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +395 / U -500

-1.43%

19.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -415

-1.23%

22.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +315 / U -385

-1.41%

23.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +320 / U --

-1.78%

23.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs ATL | Tyler Mahle | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-1.37%

17.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +465 / U -625

-1.73%

17.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-2.05%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Trout

LAA vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.38%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-1.38%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -570

-1.80%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-1.98%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Burger

TEX vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.54%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -570

-1.54%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-1.64%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-1.72%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 459

Latest Date 2026-09-03

Latest Signals 4

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-09-03 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	126 matched 0 unmatched	3 / 34 / 32 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Jarren Duran \| 39.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-02 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	276 matched 0 unmatched	18 / 77 / 58 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 53.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-01 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	273 matched 0 unmatched	28 / 51 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-31 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	213 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 74 / 57 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-30 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	312 matched 0 unmatched	36 / 66 / 93 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Jarren Duran \| 50.4	-- Signals --
2026-08-29 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	237 matched 18 unmatched	6 / 44 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Freddie Freeman \| 40.0	-- Signals --
2026-08-28 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	243 matched 0 unmatched	6 / 35 / 69 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 36.0	-- Signals --
2026-08-27 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	129 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 8 / 25 Strong / Play / Lean	3 Ezequiel Tovar \| 45.5	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%