Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-12 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-07-12

0 activated plays

Gap rows 324

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2026-07-14 Older: 2026-07-11

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-07-28 2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-22 2026-07-21

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Jeremy Peña

Strong

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore

Value Score 42.9

Odds / Gap +735 / +9.00%

1+ HR 21.0%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.161x

Value Rank #2

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren

Value Score 41.8

Odds / Gap +590 / +8.10%

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.104x

Value Rank #3

Brandon Nimmo

Play

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier

Value Score 41.8

Odds / Gap +515 / +6.87%

1+ HR 23.1%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.161x

Value Rank #4

Carlos Correa

Strong

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore

Value Score 38.7

Odds / Gap +740 / +8.41%

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.161x

Value Rank #5

Adley Rutschman

Strong

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo

Value Score 37.5

Odds / Gap +710 / +8.11%

1+ HR 20.5%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.108x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jeremy Peña

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +9.00%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +735 / U -1080

+9.00%

11.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +730 / U -1145

+8.93%

11.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +730 / U --

+8.93%

12.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Carlos Correa

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +8.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +740 / U -1085

+8.41%

11.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +735 / U -1155

+8.33%

11.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +735 / U --

+8.33%

12.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +8.11%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+8.11%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

+8.11%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+8.04%

12.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cj Abrams

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +8.10%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+8.10%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+7.99%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+7.99%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 3

Strong

Best Gap +7.92%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1150

+7.92%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+7.85%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+7.85%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.38%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+7.38%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+7.38%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+7.29%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nolan Schanuel

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 7

Strong

Best Gap +7.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1035 / U -1785

+7.37%

8.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1015 / U --

+7.21%

9.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1005 / U -1885

+7.13%

8.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.0

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.24%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +880 / U -1395

+7.24%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+7.13%

10.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +865 / U -1475

+7.08%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.5

Wyatt Langford

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+7.16%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+7.05%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+7.05%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +6.91%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+6.91%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+6.91%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+6.91%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5

Brandon Nimmo

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.87%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 23.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -715

+6.87%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+6.74%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +505 / U -670

+6.60%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Evan Carter

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1175

+6.74%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +775 / U -1245

+6.67%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +775 / U --

+6.67%

11.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.63%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +280 / U -335

+6.63%

25.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +290 / U -365

+5.15%

24.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +285 / U --

-9.61%

26.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jonathan India

KC vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.54%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +920 / U -1485

+6.54%

9.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +905 / U --

+6.39%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +900 / U -1570

+6.34%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yandy Díaz

TB vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.40%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -825

+6.40%

14.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +570 / U -775

+6.28%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

+6.28%

14.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan Aranda

TB vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+6.33%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -980

+6.33%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+6.25%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Aaron Judge

NYY vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.28%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+6.28%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+4.57%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-9.10%

29.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.27%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -975

+6.27%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +650 / U -920

+6.19%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+6.19%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jose Altuve

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -720

+5.74%

15.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +510 / U -675

+5.61%

15.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+5.61%

16.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.63%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+5.63%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+5.49%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+5.44%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+5.58%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+5.50%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+5.50%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cedric Mullins

TB vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.49%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -835

+5.49%

13.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +605 / U -885

+5.49%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+5.49%

14.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.38%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +935 / U -1520

+5.38%

9.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +920 / U --

+5.24%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +915 / U -1605

+5.19%

9.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.9

Yainer Diaz

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 7

Play

Best Gap +5.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+5.16%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -910

+5.16%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +615 / U --

+5.06%

14.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Carlos Santana

AZ vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.02%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +610 / U -890

+5.02%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +605 / U -840

+4.92%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+4.92%

14.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.3

Josh Bell

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.94%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+4.94%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+4.82%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+4.82%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ian Happ

CHC vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+4.90%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+4.78%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+4.78%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.81%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -880

+4.81%

13.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+4.70%

13.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +600 / U --

+4.70%

14.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.77%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+4.77%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+4.64%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+4.64%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Joc Pederson

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -830

+4.76%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -780

+4.66%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+4.66%

14.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Zach Neto

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.69%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +490 / U -670

+4.69%

16.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+4.55%

17.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -630

+4.40%

16.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Trevor Larnach

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 7

Play

Best Gap +4.67%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +705 / U -1020

+4.67%

12.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +705 / U -1085

+4.67%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +700 / U --

+4.59%

12.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.57%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+4.57%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -770

+4.46%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+4.46%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Isaac Paredes

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.55%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -695

+4.55%

15.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -650

+4.27%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +495 / U --

+4.27%

16.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Lane Thomas

KC vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+4.52%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+4.52%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+4.52%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+4.33%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+4.00%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+4.00%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.27%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+4.27%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+4.27%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.18%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.24%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1055

+4.24%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1120

+4.16%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+4.16%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.9

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.20%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+4.20%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+4.20%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+4.20%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+4.15%

16.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -600

+3.99%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.99%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+4.15%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+3.84%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.84%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alex Bregman

CHC vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.97%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -755

+3.97%

15.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+3.85%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+3.85%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Agustín Ramírez

MIA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -795

+3.89%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

+3.77%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

+3.77%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

James Wood

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.85%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+3.85%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+3.55%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+3.55%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Walker

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

+3.73%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

+3.55%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -540

+3.37%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Heriberto Hernández

MIA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.65%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +705 / U -1020

+3.65%

12.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1080

+3.57%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +700 / U --

+3.57%

12.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cody Bellinger

NYY vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.61%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+3.61%

16.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.45%

17.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +460 / U -600

+3.29%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Tena

WSH vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.51%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.51%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.51%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Soler

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.39%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+3.39%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+3.24%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+3.09%

16.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Cronenworth

SD vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +3.32%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +905 / U -1450

+3.32%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +890 / U -1535

+3.17%

9.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +890 / U --

+3.17%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.4

Colt Keith

DET vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1260

+3.21%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1335

+3.09%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+3.09%

11.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Heliot Ramos

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -940

+3.21%

13.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +630 / U -885

+3.12%

13.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +630 / U --

+3.12%

13.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.12%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.12%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+3.03%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.03%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.06%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+3.06%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -695

+2.93%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+2.93%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 10.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+2.93%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+2.93%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+2.93%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.7

Trea Turner

PHI vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.91%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+2.91%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -745

+2.80%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+2.80%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.83%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -610

+2.83%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+2.66%

18.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

+2.49%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nick Castellanos

SD vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.63%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -825

+2.63%

14.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +570 / U -775

+2.51%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

+2.51%

14.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+2.49%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+2.35%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+2.35%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alec Bohm

PHI vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +775 / U -1155

+2.25%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1225

+2.12%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+2.12%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jackson Merrill

SD vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +2.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+2.19%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+2.06%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+2.06%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+2.12%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+1.96%

18.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

+1.80%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.10%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+2.10%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

+1.94%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+1.94%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach McKinstry

DET vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.04%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1715

+2.04%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+1.88%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1810

+1.83%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.5

Matt Chapman

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+1.91%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

+1.78%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+1.78%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

George Springer

TOR vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.90%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+1.59%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+1.59%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Trout

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.89%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -570

+1.89%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

+1.71%

19.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -530

+1.52%

18.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jakob Marsee

MIA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.85%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +930 / U -1510

+1.85%

9.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +915 / U --

+1.71%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +910 / U -1595

+1.66%

9.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.57%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +345 / U -430

+1.57%

21.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -460

+0.56%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +350 / U --

-4.92%

22.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.54%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.54%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+1.54%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+1.54%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.6

Luke Keaschall

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.52%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1255

+1.52%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1330

+1.40%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+1.40%

11.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.4

Brice Turang

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.46%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1360

+1.46%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +855 / U --

+1.35%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1435

+1.29%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.6

Jung Hoo Lee

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap +1.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.32%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+1.32%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+1.32%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.5

Christian Yelich

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.31%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -665

+1.31%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+1.16%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+1.16%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Colson Montgomery

CWS vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+1.27%

22.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -430

+0.14%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-4.53%

23.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.96%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.96%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+0.81%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.65%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corey Seager

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.95%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 23.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

+0.95%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

+0.70%

22.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

+0.44%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.93%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+0.93%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+0.93%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+0.93%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ben Rice

NYY vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -730

+0.91%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -685

+0.78%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+0.78%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Royce Lewis

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.72%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+0.72%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+0.59%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+0.59%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.9

Chandler Simpson

TB vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 3.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.71%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.21%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-4.21%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.2

Xavier Edwards

MIA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 3.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.61%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.11%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-4.11%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 102.2

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.56%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +405 / U -530

+0.56%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +395 / U -495

+0.16%

19.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

+0.16%

20.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

+0.53%

18.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

+0.17%

18.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

+0.17%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.51%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+0.51%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+0.38%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+0.25%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Luis Arraez

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.51%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.51%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.51%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.51%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.1

Junior Caminero

TB vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+0.44%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

-0.55%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-3.73%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willy Adames

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.39%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.08%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.08%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jo Adell

LAA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -550

+0.26%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

+0.07%

19.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -515

-0.12%

19.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -670

+0.25%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+0.10%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+0.10%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.21%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+0.21%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+0.07%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.07%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jake Burger

TEX vs HOU | Cristian Javier | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -570

+0.18%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

+0.00%

19.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-0.19%

18.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Riley Greene

DET vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -600

-0.11%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

-0.28%

18.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -560

-0.45%

18.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.11%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-0.42%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-0.42%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kerry Carpenter

DET vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.41%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +390 / U -495

-0.41%

19.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +400 / U -530

-1.35%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

-2.98%

20.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Spencer Torkelson

DET vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.45%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

-0.45%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

-0.59%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

-0.73%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Rafael Devers

SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.51%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -500

-0.51%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-0.72%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-0.94%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.57%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.57%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.57%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.57%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.4

Byron Buxton

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -465

-0.63%

20.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +385 / U -500

-1.66%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-2.72%

21.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ketel Marte

AZ vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.75%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +380 / U -495

-0.75%

20.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-0.97%

21.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +370 / U -465

-1.20%

20.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adolis García

PHI vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.92%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

-0.92%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

-1.09%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

-1.27%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Matt Wallner

MIN vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.92%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +405 / U -535

-0.92%

19.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +400 / U --

-1.12%

20.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +395 / U -500

-1.32%

19.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.94%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -410

-0.94%

22.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -440

-1.92%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-2.44%

23.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-1.07%

22.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-1.92%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-2.17%

22.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Manny Machado

SD vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.09%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

-1.09%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

-1.27%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -545

-1.45%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.28%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

-1.28%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-1.65%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-1.65%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-1.39%

21.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-1.54%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-2.00%

21.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Bryce Harper

PHI vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.40%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -540

-1.40%

18.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +435 / U -580

-1.67%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

-1.85%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 422

Latest Date 2026-07-28

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-07-28 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	210 matched 36 unmatched	8 / 42 / 63 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 39.6	-- Signals --
2026-07-27 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	195 matched 0 unmatched	34 / 57 / 24 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 48.1	-- Signals --
2026-07-26 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	312 matched 0 unmatched	42 / 82 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 William Contreras \| 54.0	-- Signals --
2026-07-25 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	315 matched 0 unmatched	19 / 67 / 69 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Brandon Nimmo \| 44.4	-- Signals --
2026-07-24 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	291 matched 0 unmatched	5 / 61 / 72 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Brandon Nimmo \| 36.1	-- Signals --
2026-07-23 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	87 matched 0 unmatched	3 / 25 / 26 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Nick Castellanos \| 39.1	-- Signals --
2026-07-22 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	294 matched 24 unmatched	15 / 61 / 60 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Trea Turner \| 45.0	-- Signals --
2026-07-21 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	231 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 50 / 42 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Andrew Benintendi \| 43.0	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356

Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821

Over Hit Rate 15.9%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%