Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-06-19 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-06-19
0 activated plays
Gap rows 294
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Older: 2026-06-18

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-06-18 2026-06-17 2026-06-16 2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

William Contreras

Play

MIL vs ATL | Martín Pérez

Value Score 30.8
Odds / Gap +645 / +6.84%
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.016x

Value Rank #2

Bryan Reynolds

Play

PIT vs COL | Kyle Freeland

Value Score 28.6
Odds / Gap +615 / +6.37%
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.006x

Value Rank #3

Zach Neto

Lean

LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs

Value Score 24.0
Odds / Gap +470 / +3.25%
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.045x

Value Rank #4

Elly De La Cruz

Play

CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler

Value Score 21.9
Odds / Gap +540 / +4.54%
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.047x

Value Rank #5

Josh Bell

Play

MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka

Value Score 21.0
Odds / Gap +550 / +4.63%
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 0.998x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +645 / U -905
+6.84%
13.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +645 / U -960
+6.84%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+6.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+6.37%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+6.28%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.28%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+6.35%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+6.35%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+6.35%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+6.21%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+6.07%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+6.02%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.6
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +5.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+5.90%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+5.75%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+5.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.86%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.78%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.78%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.63%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+5.63%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+4.29%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-8.85%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+5.32%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+5.32%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.23%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+4.92%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+4.80%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+4.80%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+4.83%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+4.83%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+4.76%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+4.69%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+4.69%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+4.75%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+4.75%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+4.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+4.75%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+4.63%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+4.63%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.67%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +285 / U -345
+4.67%
25.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -370
+3.48%
24.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +290 / U --
-7.84%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.63%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+4.63%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+4.51%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+4.51%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+4.59%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+4.52%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+4.52%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+4.54%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+4.41%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+4.29%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +4.49%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+4.49%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+4.49%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+4.41%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+4.46%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+4.46%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+4.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+4.43%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+4.43%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.35%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.3
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+4.21%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+4.06%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+4.01%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+4.13%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+4.05%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.05%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.12%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1710
+4.12%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.96%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1805
+3.87%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.07%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+3.98%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+3.98%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.96%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+3.96%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+3.83%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+3.83%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+3.94%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+3.82%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+3.82%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.6
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+3.93%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+3.93%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+3.93%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+3.88%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+3.81%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+3.81%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.80%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.68%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.68%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+3.69%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+3.58%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+3.58%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+3.67%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+3.58%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+3.58%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+3.47%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+3.47%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+3.37%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+3.43%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.27%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+3.22%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.2
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+3.28%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+3.15%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+3.15%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+3.27%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+3.14%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+3.00%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.25%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.09%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+2.93%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+3.21%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+3.13%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+3.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.06%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.06%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.06%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.96%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+2.96%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+2.83%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+2.71%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+2.87%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+2.87%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+2.87%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.87%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.73%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.73%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+2.75%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+2.75%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+2.75%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+2.68%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
+2.60%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+2.60%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Hays headshot

Austin Hays
CWS vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+2.66%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +725 / U -1125
+2.66%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+2.58%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+2.45%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+2.34%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+2.34%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.33%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.02%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.02%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+2.33%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+2.21%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+2.21%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.4
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.26%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+2.10%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.10%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+2.22%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+2.10%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+2.10%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.19%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.88%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+1.88%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+2.18%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+1.19%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-5.47%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+2.00%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.84%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.67%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.95%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+1.95%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+1.83%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+1.83%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.84%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +955 / U -1570
+1.84%
9.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +935 / U --
+1.66%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +930 / U -1655
+1.61%
9.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+1.79%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+1.67%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+1.67%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +510 / U -705
+1.78%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
+1.64%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -660
+1.50%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+1.77%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+1.64%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+1.64%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.75%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
+1.75%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+1.60%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+1.60%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+1.71%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+1.60%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+1.60%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+1.71%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+1.61%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+1.61%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+1.61%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+1.53%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+1.53%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+1.56%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+1.43%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+1.30%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+1.54%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+1.43%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+1.43%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+1.49%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+1.38%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+1.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.48%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.98%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.98%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.6
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+1.47%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+1.30%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+1.26%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.7
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs CHC | Ben Brown | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.32%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+1.32%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+1.17%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.01%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+1.27%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.13%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.21%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.71%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.71%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 101.8
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.94%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.94%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.94%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.4
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+0.88%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+0.72%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+0.55%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+0.85%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+0.72%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.72%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+0.78%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-0.23%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-4.07%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.72%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.72%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.72%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.72%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.7
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+0.56%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
+0.43%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+0.43%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+0.53%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+0.36%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+0.19%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.50%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+0.50%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+0.33%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+0.15%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+0.39%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+0.21%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -545
+0.03%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+0.39%
18.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +405 / U --
+0.20%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
+0.00%
19.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.37%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.21%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+0.05%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs BOS | Ranger Suarez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+0.20%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.07%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.07%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+0.16%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.02%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
-0.12%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.11%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.11%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.11%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.04%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-0.28%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.52%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-0.17%
21.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-1.11%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-3.16%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.30%
18.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-1.24%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-3.06%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.35%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.35%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.35%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.6
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.37%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.83%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.07%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.39%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.42%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.96%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.41%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
-0.41%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
-0.78%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
-0.78%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-0.44%
22.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-1.49%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-2.80%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
-0.47%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
-0.64%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
-0.82%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.68%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-1.64%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-2.71%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
-0.73%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.94%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.16%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.91%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.91%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.91%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.6
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-1.01%
19.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-1.95%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-2.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.28%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.70%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -475
-1.74%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.32%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-1.32%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-1.52%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-1.72%
19.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 396
Latest Date 2026-06-19
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-06-19
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 45 / 85
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 30.8
 --
Signals --
2026-06-18
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 43 / 45
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 52.3
 --
Signals --
2026-06-17
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 225 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 79 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bo Bichette | 55.2
 --
Signals --
2026-06-16
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 336 matched
0 unmatched
 2 / 71 / 92
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 38.7
 --
Signals --
2026-06-15
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 168 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 29 / 36
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 39.6
 --
Signals --
2026-06-14
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 390 matched
0 unmatched
 53 / 83 / 83
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 55.4
 --
Signals --
2026-06-13
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 53 / 87
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 51.9
 --
Signals --
2026-06-12
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 249 matched
0 unmatched
 24 / 76 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.3
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%