Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-21 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-08-21

0 activated plays

Gap rows 324

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2026-08-22 Older: 2026-08-20

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-30 2026-08-29 2026-08-28

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

José Ramírez

Lean

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon

Value Score 47.2

Odds / Gap +395 / +4.42%

1+ HR 24.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.130x

Value Rank #2

Ezequiel Tovar

Strong

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo

Value Score 37.0

Odds / Gap +645 / +7.74%

1+ HR 21.2%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.130x

Value Rank #3

Bo Bichette

Strong

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke

Value Score 36.9

Odds / Gap +725 / +8.09%

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.080x

Value Rank #4

Francisco Lindor

Lean

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke

Value Score 33.1

Odds / Gap +420 / +3.16%

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.080x

Value Rank #5

Brenton Doyle

Strong

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo

Value Score 32.2

Odds / Gap +655 / +7.09%

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.130x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Daniel Schneemann

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +8.68%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +810 / U -1230

+8.68%

10.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +800 / U -1305

+8.56%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +800 / U --

+8.56%

11.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Bo Bichette

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 3

Strong

Best Gap +8.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+8.09%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1125

+8.01%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+8.01%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Carlos Correa

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +8.06%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1155

+8.06%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+7.99%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+7.99%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jeremy Peña

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +765 / U -1145

+7.90%

11.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +760 / U -1215

+7.83%

11.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +760 / U --

+7.83%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.7

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+7.74%

12.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +640 / U -905

+7.65%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+7.65%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.3

Steven Kwan

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 2

Strong

Best Gap +7.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1720

+7.60%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+7.44%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1815

+7.39%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 103.7

Jordan Beck

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 7

Strong

Best Gap +7.23%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +870 / U -1375

+7.23%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1455

+7.12%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +860 / U --

+7.12%

10.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.7

Brenton Doyle

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+7.09%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+7.09%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +655 / U --

+7.09%

13.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willi Castro

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.08%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +875 / U -1380

+7.08%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +865 / U --

+6.98%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1460

+6.92%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.5

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.00%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+7.00%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

+7.00%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+6.93%

12.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Hays

CWS vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+6.93%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +725 / U -1125

+6.93%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+6.85%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Bo Naylor

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +6.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+6.78%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -915

+6.78%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

+6.78%

13.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Cj Abrams

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.49%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+6.49%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+6.38%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+6.38%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcus Semien

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.06%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +630 / U -930

+6.06%

13.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +625 / U -875

+5.97%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

+5.97%

13.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.97%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+5.97%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+5.97%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+5.88%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+5.90%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+5.90%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+5.81%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1150

+5.84%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+5.77%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+5.77%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Lawrence Butler

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +545 / U -775

+5.84%

14.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +540 / U -725

+5.72%

15.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

+5.72%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ramón Urías

STL vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.77%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +830 / U -1280

+5.77%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +820 / U -1355

+5.65%

10.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +820 / U --

+5.65%

10.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -905

+5.76%

13.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+5.76%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.67%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+5.70%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1125

+5.62%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+5.62%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jacob Wilson

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.44%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1005 / U -1700

+5.44%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +985 / U --

+5.27%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1795

+5.23%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.7

Jose Altuve

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.35%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+5.35%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+5.22%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+5.10%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.3

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.28%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

+5.28%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

+5.17%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

+5.17%

14.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Carlos Santana

AZ vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.85%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +595 / U -865

+4.85%

13.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +590 / U -815

+4.75%

14.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +590 / U --

+4.75%

14.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -975

+4.76%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +650 / U -920

+4.68%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+4.68%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+4.60%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+4.51%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.51%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ian Happ

CHC vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +4.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+4.58%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+4.46%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+4.46%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +880 / U -1395

+4.52%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+4.41%

10.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +865 / U -1475

+4.36%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+4.51%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+4.43%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+4.43%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

José Ramírez

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.42%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 24.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +395 / U -520

+4.42%

19.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

+4.21%

20.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +385 / U -485

+4.00%

19.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.27%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +990 / U -1665

+4.27%

8.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +975 / U --

+4.14%

9.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +965 / U -1760

+4.05%

9.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.3

Spencer Steer

CIN vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.11%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+4.11%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -770

+4.00%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+4.00%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.05%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+4.05%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+3.92%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+3.92%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Isaac Paredes

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+3.90%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -700

+3.77%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+3.77%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ryan O'Hearn

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.87%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -895

+3.87%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+3.87%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +635 / U --

+3.77%

13.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +955 / U -1570

+3.84%

9.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +935 / U --

+3.66%

9.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +930 / U -1655

+3.61%

9.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rob Refsnyder

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

+3.78%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +690 / U -1060

+3.70%

12.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

+3.70%

12.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.76%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +285 / U -345

+3.76%

25.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +295 / U -370

+2.57%

24.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +290 / U --

-6.93%

25.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Horwitz

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +755 / U -1115

+3.76%

11.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +750 / U -1185

+3.70%

11.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +745 / U --

+3.63%

11.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jakob Marsee

MIA vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +855 / U -1340

+3.74%

10.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +845 / U -1415

+3.63%

10.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +845 / U --

+3.63%

10.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.73%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -890

+3.73%

13.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +635 / U -945

+3.73%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +635 / U --

+3.73%

13.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.67%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.67%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.67%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.67%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.8

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.60%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+3.51%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.51%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yandy Díaz

TB vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+3.58%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+3.46%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+3.46%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1055

+3.56%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1120

+3.48%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+3.48%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.4

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+3.56%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+3.56%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+3.56%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach Neto

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.50%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+3.50%

16.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.34%

17.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +460 / U -600

+3.18%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Manzardo

CLE vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.44%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -650

+3.44%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+3.29%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -610

+3.13%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jarren Duran

BOS vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+3.37%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+3.37%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+3.37%

12.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+3.37%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+3.26%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+3.26%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Polanco

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.30%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -675

+3.30%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+3.02%

16.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+3.02%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Junior Caminero

TB vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.18%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 16.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +335 / U -415

+3.18%

22.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -445

+2.11%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +340 / U --

-6.49%

22.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Francisco Lindor

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -555

+3.16%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

+2.97%

19.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -520

+2.78%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Iván Herrera

STL vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -940

+3.16%

13.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +630 / U -885

+3.07%

13.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +630 / U --

+3.07%

13.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Walker

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.13%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

+3.13%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+2.97%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

+2.80%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.99%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+2.99%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+2.66%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+2.66%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alex Bregman

CHC vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -795

+2.96%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

+2.84%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

+2.84%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Agustín Ramírez

MIA vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.86%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+2.86%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+2.75%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+2.75%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Roman Anthony

BOS vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.83%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+2.83%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+2.83%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+2.75%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.40%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1710

+2.40%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+2.24%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1805

+2.15%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.8

Jorge Soler

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +2.38%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

+2.38%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+2.22%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

+2.05%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

James Wood

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+2.37%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+2.07%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+2.07%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +510 / U -705

+2.25%

15.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +505 / U --

+2.11%

16.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +500 / U -660

+1.97%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Tena

WSH vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.14%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+2.14%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+2.14%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+2.14%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Heliot Ramos

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -940

+2.13%

13.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +630 / U -885

+2.04%

13.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +630 / U --

+2.04%

13.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Yelich

MIL vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.99%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+1.99%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+1.86%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+1.86%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jahmai Jones

DET vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.96%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -885

+1.96%

13.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +600 / U -830

+1.85%

13.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +600 / U --

+1.85%

14.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.90%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+1.90%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+1.90%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +1.89%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+1.89%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+1.75%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+1.70%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.5

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.85%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+1.85%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+1.72%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+1.59%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brent Rooker

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.75%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 23.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -480

+1.75%

20.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

+1.52%

21.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +360 / U -450

+1.29%

21.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.72%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+1.72%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+1.55%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+1.37%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+1.71%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+1.57%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.57%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Torkelson

DET vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.66%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.66%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+1.35%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+1.35%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.58%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -505

+1.58%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

+1.37%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -470

+1.15%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.47%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +500 / U -685

+1.47%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -645

+1.19%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.19%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nick Kurtz

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+1.29%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

-0.05%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-4.51%

27.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+1.26%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+1.12%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.12%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Josh Naylor

SEA vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+1.23%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

+1.10%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+1.10%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Chapman

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+1.20%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

+1.07%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+1.07%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jung Hoo Lee

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap +0.98%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.98%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.98%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.98%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.88%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+0.88%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

+0.72%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+0.72%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Riley Greene

DET vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.79%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+0.79%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+0.49%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+0.49%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Xavier Edwards

MIA vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.59%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 3.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.59%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.09%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-4.09%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.2

George Springer

TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.57%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.57%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.26%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.26%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Mike Trout

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.57%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +410 / U -540

+0.57%

18.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +405 / U --

+0.38%

19.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +400 / U -505

+0.18%

19.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shea Langeliers

ATH vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +390 / U -505

+0.32%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-0.10%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-0.32%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Michael Busch

CHC vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.30%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+0.30%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+0.13%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -550

-0.05%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.28%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -410

+0.28%

22.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -440

-0.81%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-3.66%

23.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

+0.25%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-0.12%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-0.12%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis Arraez

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.17%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.17%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.17%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.17%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.8

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -465

+0.13%

20.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +380 / U -495

-0.76%

20.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-3.48%

21.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.10%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -475

+0.10%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-0.36%

21.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-0.60%

21.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.10%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.10%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.10%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.10%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.2

Brandon Lowe

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.05%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -485

+0.05%

19.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +395 / U -520

-0.91%

19.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

-3.37%

20.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -560

-0.23%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-0.42%

19.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -525

-0.61%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

-0.24%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

-0.36%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

-0.36%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.33%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

-0.48%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-0.64%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.35%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-0.35%

22.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-1.40%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-2.89%

22.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willy Adames

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.55%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.55%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-0.86%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-0.86%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jo Adell

LAA vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.05%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +390 / U -505

-1.05%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-1.47%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -475

-1.69%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ketel Marte

AZ vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -485

-1.07%

20.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +365 / U -450

-1.53%

20.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

-1.53%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-1.18%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.49%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-1.49%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Juan Soto

NYM vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +310 / U -375

-1.23%

23.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +320 / U -405

-1.53%

22.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +315 / U --

-1.82%

24.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 5.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.32%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.82%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-2.18%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.6

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

-1.33%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

-1.46%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

-1.46%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rafael Devers

SF vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.46%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-1.46%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +385 / U -500

-1.62%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-1.83%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 460

Latest Date 2026-09-04

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-09-04 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	303 matched 0 unmatched	7 / 77 / 41 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bobby Witt Jr. \| 34.3	-- Signals --
2026-09-03 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	126 matched 0 unmatched	3 / 34 / 32 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Jarren Duran \| 39.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-02 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	276 matched 0 unmatched	18 / 77 / 58 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 53.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-01 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	273 matched 0 unmatched	28 / 51 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-31 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	213 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 74 / 57 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-30 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	312 matched 0 unmatched	36 / 66 / 93 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Jarren Duran \| 50.4	-- Signals --
2026-08-29 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	237 matched 18 unmatched	6 / 44 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Freddie Freeman \| 40.0	-- Signals --
2026-08-28 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	243 matched 0 unmatched	6 / 35 / 69 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 36.0	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%