Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-09-11 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-09-11

0 activated plays

Gap rows 309

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Older: 2026-09-10

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-09-10 2026-09-09 2026-09-08 2026-09-07 2026-09-06 2026-09-05 2026-09-04

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Bo Bichette

Strong

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón

Value Score 38.9

Odds / Gap +695 / +8.25%

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.031x

Value Rank #2

José Ramírez

Lean

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley

Value Score 34.0

Odds / Gap +395 / +2.51%

1+ HR 22.7%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.089x

Value Rank #3

Bryan Reynolds

Play

PIT vs CHC | Shota Imanaga

Value Score 30.2

Odds / Gap +615 / +6.60%

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.028x

Value Rank #4

Marcus Semien

Play

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón

Value Score 27.4

Odds / Gap +605 / +6.14%

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.031x

Value Rank #5

Freddie Freeman

Lean

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto

Value Score 27.4

Odds / Gap +495 / +4.32%

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.002x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Bo Bichette

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 3

Strong

Best Gap +8.25%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

+8.25%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +695 / U -1065

+8.25%

12.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

+8.17%

12.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Daniel Schneemann

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +7.02%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +810 / U -1230

+7.02%

10.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +800 / U -1305

+6.90%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +800 / U --

+6.90%

11.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+6.60%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+6.51%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+6.51%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jarren Duran

BOS vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.31%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+6.31%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+6.31%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+6.31%

12.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.19%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+6.19%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

+6.19%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+6.12%

12.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcus Semien

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.14%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -880

+6.14%

13.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +600 / U -830

+6.03%

13.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +600 / U --

+6.03%

14.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.08%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+6.08%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+4.37%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-8.90%

29.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.07%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+6.07%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+6.07%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+5.98%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.03%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +280 / U -335

+6.03%

25.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +290 / U -365

+4.55%

24.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +285 / U --

-9.01%

26.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nick Kurtz

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.55%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+5.55%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

+4.21%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-8.77%

27.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bo Naylor

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+5.52%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -915

+5.52%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

+5.52%

13.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+5.51%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+5.51%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+5.43%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1

Cj Abrams

WSH vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.26%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -915

+5.26%

13.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+5.16%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

+5.16%

13.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.25%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -905

+5.25%

13.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+5.25%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.16%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +955 / U -1570

+5.15%

9.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +935 / U --

+4.97%

9.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +930 / U -1655

+4.92%

9.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Hays

CWS vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+4.89%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +725 / U -1125

+4.89%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+4.81%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Steven Kwan

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +4.87%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1720

+4.87%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+4.71%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1815

+4.66%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.7

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +900 / U -1440

+4.84%

9.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +890 / U --

+4.74%

10.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +885 / U -1525

+4.69%

9.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.9

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+4.70%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+4.61%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.61%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rob Refsnyder

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.34%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

+4.34%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +690 / U -1060

+4.26%

12.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

+4.26%

12.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Freddie Freeman

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.32%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+4.32%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+4.18%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -640

+4.04%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.23%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +830 / U -1280

+4.23%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +820 / U -1355

+4.11%

10.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +820 / U --

+4.11%

10.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler Fitzgerald

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +4.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +730 / U -1075

+4.21%

11.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +730 / U -1140

+4.21%

11.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +725 / U --

+4.14%

12.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.7

Roman Anthony

BOS vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.18%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+4.18%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+4.18%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+4.10%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Trea Turner

PHI vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.13%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+4.13%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -745

+4.02%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+4.02%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alec Bohm

PHI vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +775 / U -1155

+3.96%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1225

+3.83%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+3.83%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+3.90%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+3.79%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+3.79%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan India

KC vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +920 / U -1485

+3.84%

9.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +905 / U --

+3.69%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +900 / U -1570

+3.64%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+3.76%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1125

+3.68%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+3.68%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.57%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+3.57%

12.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +640 / U -905

+3.48%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+3.48%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brenton Doyle

COL vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+3.51%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+3.51%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +655 / U --

+3.51%

13.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.4

Carlos Correa

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1155

+3.51%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+3.44%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+3.44%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.48%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+3.48%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+3.35%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+3.23%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.31%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 19.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +285 / U -345

+3.31%

25.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +295 / U -370

+2.12%

24.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +290 / U --

-6.48%

25.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jeremy Peña

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.20%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +765 / U -1145

+3.20%

11.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +760 / U -1215

+3.13%

11.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +760 / U --

+3.13%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.10%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+3.10%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+3.02%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+3.02%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nolan Schanuel

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +2.97%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1035 / U -1785

+2.97%

8.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1015 / U --

+2.81%

9.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1005 / U -1885

+2.73%

8.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.3

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.91%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -975

+2.91%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +650 / U -920

+2.83%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+2.83%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.85%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+2.85%

13.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +600 / U -875

+2.85%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +595 / U --

+2.75%

14.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mookie Betts

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+2.76%

15.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+2.63%

16.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -690

+2.50%

15.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Heliot Ramos

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+2.60%

13.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +600 / U -875

+2.60%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +600 / U --

+2.60%

14.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jj Bleday

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.54%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +650 / U -970

+2.54%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +645 / U -910

+2.45%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +645 / U --

+2.45%

13.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Ramírez

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +395 / U -520

+2.51%

19.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

+2.30%

20.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +385 / U -485

+2.09%

19.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Polanco

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.45%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -700

+2.45%

15.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +500 / U -655

+2.31%

16.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+2.31%

16.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.43%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1710

+2.43%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+2.27%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1805

+2.18%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.1

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+2.33%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+2.25%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+2.25%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Francisco Lindor

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -555

+2.26%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

+2.07%

19.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -520

+1.88%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+2.20%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+2.03%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+1.85%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+2.18%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+1.85%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+1.85%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+2.18%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+2.04%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+1.99%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jordan Beck

COL vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 7

No Play

Best Gap +2.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +870 / U -1375

+2.13%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1455

+2.02%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +860 / U --

+2.02%

10.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.6

Willi Castro

COL vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +875 / U -1380

+2.06%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +865 / U --

+1.96%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1460

+1.90%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.4

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+1.91%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+1.78%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+1.65%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jose Altuve

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+1.91%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+1.78%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+1.66%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Lane Thomas

KC vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+1.91%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+1.91%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+1.91%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +1.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.90%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+1.90%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+1.90%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5

Austin Riley

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.84%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+1.84%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+1.70%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.70%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Chapman

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.80%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -695

+1.80%

15.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+1.66%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -655

+1.52%

16.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Josh Naylor

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+1.63%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

+1.50%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+1.50%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Manzardo

CLE vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.58%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -650

+1.58%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+1.43%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -610

+1.27%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Lawrence Butler

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.48%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +545 / U -775

+1.48%

14.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +540 / U -725

+1.36%

15.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

+1.36%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.47%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

+1.47%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

+1.36%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

+1.36%

14.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Yelich

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+1.44%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+1.31%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+1.31%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

James Wood

WSH vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.38%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -695

+1.38%

15.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+1.24%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -655

+1.10%

16.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jacob Wilson

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +1.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1005 / U -1700

+1.33%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +985 / U --

+1.16%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1795

+1.12%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.1

Mark Vientos

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +1.28%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +500 / U -685

+1.28%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -645

+1.00%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.00%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

+1.25%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

+1.13%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+1.13%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Tucker

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

+1.20%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

+1.02%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

+0.84%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.04%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.04%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.73%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.73%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.01%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+1.01%

16.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -600

+0.85%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.85%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.00%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -410

+1.00%

22.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -440

-0.09%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-4.38%

23.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shea Langeliers

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.74%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -470

+0.74%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +390 / U -505

-0.27%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-4.03%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +355 / U -445

+0.69%

21.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-0.27%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-4.08%

21.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jo Adell

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.67%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +405 / U -515

+0.67%

19.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +415 / U -550

-0.21%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

-4.02%

19.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.61%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.61%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.61%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.5

Zach Neto

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +490 / U -670

+0.61%

16.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+0.47%

17.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -630

+0.32%

16.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Isaac Paredes

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.55%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+0.55%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -700

+0.42%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+0.42%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.50%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -465

+0.50%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

+0.26%

22.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+0.02%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Teoscar Hernández

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -605

+0.44%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+0.27%

18.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

+0.10%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.43%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +410 / U -525

+0.43%

18.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +420 / U -560

-0.42%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-3.85%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

+0.29%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-0.08%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-0.08%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -475

+0.25%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-0.21%

21.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-0.45%

21.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adolis García

PHI vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+0.19%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+0.02%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

-0.16%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+0.12%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-0.04%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-0.04%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.04%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+0.04%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

-0.09%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

-0.09%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Juan Soto

NYM vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.03%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -395

+0.03%

22.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -425

-1.12%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-3.09%

23.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willy Adames

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

-0.06%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

-0.39%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

-0.39%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.12%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.12%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.12%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.8

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

-0.20%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

-0.34%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

-0.34%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Soler

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

-0.23%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

-0.38%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

-0.53%

16.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.34%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

-0.34%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -695

-0.47%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

-0.47%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Walker

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

-0.39%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

-0.55%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

-0.72%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brent Rooker

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -450

-0.53%

21.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -480

-1.47%

20.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

-2.80%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rafael Devers

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.64%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +390 / U -495

-0.64%

19.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +400 / U -530

-1.58%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

-2.75%

20.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.77%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

-0.77%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-0.93%

18.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

-1.09%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

George Springer

TOR vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.85%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.85%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.16%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-1.16%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Trout

LAA vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.94%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-0.94%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -570

-1.88%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-2.42%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.95%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-0.95%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +385 / U -505

-1.96%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-2.34%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryce Harper

PHI vs ATL | Chris Sale | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

-1.06%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

-1.24%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -540

-1.42%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Max Muncy

LAD vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -1.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-1.26%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -565

-1.92%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-2.10%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis Arraez

SF vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.31%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.31%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.31%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-1.31%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.1

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.45%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.45%

17.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-1.76%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-2.07%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.46%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.46%

17.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-1.75%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

-1.90%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 467

Latest Date 2026-09-11

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-09-11 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	309 matched 0 unmatched	4 / 48 / 68 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bo Bichette \| 38.9	-- Signals --
2026-09-10 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	123 matched 0 unmatched	9 / 25 / 21 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Yandy Díaz \| 38.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-09 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	201 matched 0 unmatched	24 / 52 / 54 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Jasson Domínguez \| 55.7	-- Signals --
2026-09-08 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	318 matched 0 unmatched	9 / 50 / 86 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Trea Turner \| 32.3	-- Signals --
2026-09-07 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	228 matched 0 unmatched	0 / 56 / 34 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Carlos Santana \| 28.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-06 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	228 matched 0 unmatched	8 / 37 / 48 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Alec Burleson \| 42.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-05 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	339 matched 0 unmatched	12 / 68 / 75 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Ezequiel Tovar \| 34.4	-- Signals --
2026-09-04 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	303 matched 0 unmatched	7 / 77 / 41 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bobby Witt Jr. \| 34.3	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%