Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-20 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-07-20
0 activated plays
Gap rows 345
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-07-21 Older: 2026-07-19

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-22 2026-07-21

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs COL | Kyle Freeland

Value Score 46.0
Odds / Gap +625 / +8.95%
1+ HR 22.7%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.167x

Value Rank #2

Brandon Nimmo

Strong

TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde

Value Score 44.0
Odds / Gap +515 / +7.19%
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.207x

Value Rank #3

Andrew Benintendi

Strong

CWS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom

Value Score 43.9
Odds / Gap +640 / +8.72%
1+ HR 22.2%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.207x

Value Rank #4

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs BAL | Shane Baz

Value Score 43.7
Odds / Gap +715 / +9.03%
1+ HR 21.3%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.111x

Value Rank #5

Bo Bichette

Strong

NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski

Value Score 43.2
Odds / Gap +725 / +9.00%
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.149x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.03%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+9.03%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+9.03%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+9.03%
12.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +9.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+9.00%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+8.92%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+8.92%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -915
+8.95%
13.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+8.85%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+8.85%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +8.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+8.72%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+8.72%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+8.72%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +900 / U -1440
+8.58%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+8.48%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +885 / U -1525
+8.43%
9.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.4
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +8.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+8.48%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+8.36%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+8.36%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs CHC | Jameson Taillon | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +8.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+8.31%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+8.19%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+8.19%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs SD | Jp Sears | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+8.07%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+8.07%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+7.98%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+7.85%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+7.74%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+7.68%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.2
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+7.68%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+7.68%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+7.68%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.6
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.45%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +240 / U -285
+7.45%
28.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +250 / U -310
+5.87%
27.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +245 / U --
-10.47%
29.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+7.44%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+7.33%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+7.33%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs CHC | Jameson Taillon | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+7.43%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+7.27%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+7.22%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.9
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 7
Strong
Best Gap +7.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+7.35%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+7.20%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+7.20%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.9
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+7.19%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+7.06%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+6.92%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs HOU | Ronel Blanco | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+7.13%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+7.02%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+7.02%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+7.04%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+6.97%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+6.97%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+6.83%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+6.70%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+6.70%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+6.83%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+6.74%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+6.74%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+6.80%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+6.68%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+6.68%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+6.55%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+6.55%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+6.47%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+6.33%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+6.26%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+6.26%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+6.26%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+6.17%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.17%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+6.18%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+6.11%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+6.11%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+5.94%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+5.79%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+5.79%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+5.73%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+5.63%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+5.63%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+5.53%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+5.41%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+5.41%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+5.52%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+5.40%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+5.40%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+5.51%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+5.39%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+5.39%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs HOU | Ronel Blanco | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+5.20%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+5.09%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+5.09%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.14%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+5.14%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+5.01%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+5.01%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+5.04%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+4.94%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+4.94%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+4.76%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+4.76%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+4.76%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+4.75%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -815
+4.65%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+4.65%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.3
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.74%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+4.74%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+4.60%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+4.46%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+4.72%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+4.63%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+4.63%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +990 / U -1665
+4.69%
8.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +975 / U --
+4.56%
9.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +965 / U -1760
+4.47%
9.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs SD | Jp Sears | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+4.68%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+4.53%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+4.37%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+4.48%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+4.48%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+4.48%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.28%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 14.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+4.28%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+3.29%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-7.57%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.16%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+4.16%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+3.97%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+3.78%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.16%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+4.16%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+3.88%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+3.88%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.00%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +285 / U -345
+4.00%
25.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -370
+2.81%
24.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +290 / U --
-7.17%
25.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+3.99%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+3.91%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+3.91%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+3.92%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+3.92%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+3.92%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+3.80%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+3.68%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+3.68%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.74%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+3.74%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+3.62%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+3.62%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.66%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+3.53%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+3.41%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+3.62%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+3.49%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+3.49%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs CHC | Jameson Taillon | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+3.57%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+3.40%
18.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+3.23%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+3.52%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+3.38%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+3.33%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+3.50%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.34%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+3.29%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.8
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+3.47%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
+3.39%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+3.39%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.40%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+3.40%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+3.40%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+3.40%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+3.39%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+3.39%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+3.31%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.9
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +955 / U -1570
+3.31%
9.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +935 / U --
+3.13%
9.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +930 / U -1655
+3.08%
9.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.29%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+3.16%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+3.04%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs SD | Jp Sears | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+3.25%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
+2.86%
19.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
+2.86%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.22%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.10%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.10%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+3.20%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+3.09%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+3.09%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.19%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.19%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+1.85%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-6.41%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+3.19%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+3.19%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+3.11%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
+3.08%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+2.93%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+2.93%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs CHC | Jameson Taillon | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+2.90%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.76%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+2.62%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+2.68%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+2.54%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+2.40%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs BAL | Shane Baz | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+2.56%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+2.43%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+2.43%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -720
+2.49%
15.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +510 / U -675
+2.36%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+2.36%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +2.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+2.47%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+2.38%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+2.38%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+2.47%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+2.47%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+2.39%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +2.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+2.44%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+2.44%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+2.44%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.2
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+2.40%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+2.27%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.27%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+2.37%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+2.37%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+2.27%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+2.26%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+2.18%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+2.18%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+2.25%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+2.13%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+2.13%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+2.10%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+1.91%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+1.72%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andy Pages headshot

Andy Pages
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +2.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+2.09%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+2.09%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+2.09%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.9
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.05%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.74%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+1.74%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 2.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.90%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.40%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-5.40%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.9
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.79%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.79%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.79%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.1
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.79%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.79%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.79%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.7
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+1.78%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+1.60%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -545
+1.42%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+1.61%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.29%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.29%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+1.61%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+1.61%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+1.61%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+1.59%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+1.59%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+1.59%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -685
+1.56%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+1.28%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.28%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs SD | Jp Sears | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
+1.55%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
+1.34%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+1.12%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.53%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.37%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.20%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+1.45%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+1.28%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+1.10%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 23.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
+1.33%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
+1.08%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
+0.82%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
+1.27%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
+1.06%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+0.84%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+1.16%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+0.99%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
+0.81%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+0.99%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.86%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.86%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+0.97%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+0.76%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.55%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.86%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.10%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-4.25%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.77%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.77%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.77%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.4
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.76%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.76%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.76%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.76%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.5
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.76%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+0.76%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+0.62%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.62%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs CHC | Jameson Taillon | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
+0.73%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
+0.53%
20.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
+0.32%
19.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
+0.61%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.42%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-3.96%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.41%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
+0.41%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+0.23%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
+0.04%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.21%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.10%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.10%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+0.07%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
-0.08%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
-0.24%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -575
+0.03%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
-0.15%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -540
-0.33%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.04%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-0.28%
22.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.52%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
-0.14%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.35%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.57%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs LAA | José Soriano | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.22%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.22%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.22%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.6
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
-0.25%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
-0.37%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
-0.37%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.8
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs PHI | Cristopher Sánchez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
-0.55%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
-0.72%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
-0.72%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
-0.66%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
-0.79%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-0.79%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-0.68%
19.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-1.60%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-2.65%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.70%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
-0.85%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.01%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 23.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-0.79%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-1.08%
24.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +310 / U -375
-1.37%
23.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -485
-1.04%
20.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +365 / U -450
-1.50%
20.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-1.50%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -400
-1.06%
22.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -430
-1.93%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-2.20%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs HOU | Ronel Blanco | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 5.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.16%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.66%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-2.34%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.3

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 421
Latest Date 2026-07-27
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-07-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 34 / 57 / 24
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 42 / 82 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 54.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
0 unmatched
 19 / 67 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 44.4
 --
Signals --
2026-07-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 5 / 61 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 36.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 87 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 25 / 26
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Nick Castellanos | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
24 unmatched
 15 / 61 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 45.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 231 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 50 / 42
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Andrew Benintendi | 43.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-20
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 345 matched
0 unmatched
 46 / 64 / 80
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 46.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%