Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home runs · three lanes per row.
Every hitter in the saved HR market-comparison artifact, shown as a dense baseball-data board. The strip compares Palantir, Fangorn, and Valinor; the chips disclose lineup, health, sample-size, park, weather, and recent-form context.
HR BOARD 2026-07-19 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-07-21
Palantir
10338 props
Brier 0.125
ECE 0.008
14d error falling
Fangorn
10338 props
Brier 0.125
ECE 0.009
14d error falling
Valinor
4743 props
Brier 0.121
ECE 0.003
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.
Home-run board
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
14.4%Valinor | 9.8%market | +4.3pp |
P
12.5
F
12.2
V
14.4
|
2.2pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
15.2%Valinor | 12.0%market | +2.7pp |
P
13.2
F
12.2
V
15.2
|
3.0pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 700 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 12.5%market | +2.7pp |
P
14.2
F
11.4
V
15.7
|
4.3pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
14.9%Valinor | 11.9%market | +2.6pp |
P
13.8
F
12.2
V
14.9
|
2.7pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 5 |
12.3%Valinor | 9.7%market | +2.3pp |
P
12.7
F
13.6
V
12.3
|
1.3pp | 1.131xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Edouard Julien
COL
IN
|
COL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6 |
13.1%Valinor | 10.9%market | +1.9pp |
P
12.4
F
12.2
V
13.1
|
0.9pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 07 | Lineup pending | CLE vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
12.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | +1.5pp |
P
11.4
F
5.2
V
12.5
|
7.4pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 1 |
11.7%Valinor | 10.0%market | +1.3pp |
P
15.1
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
3.8pp | 1.040xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
12.6%Valinor | 10.9%market | +1.3pp |
P
13.7
F
7.4
V
12.6
|
6.2pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 785 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 3 |
12.2%Valinor | 10.5%market | +1.3pp |
P
16.4
F
9.6
V
12.2
|
6.8pp | 1.131xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5 |
15.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.2pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
15.2
|
2.9pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 5 |
14.1%Valinor | 12.5%market | +1.2pp |
P
11.2
F
11.4
V
14.1
|
2.9pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 13 | Lineup pending | MIL vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 3 |
13.9%Valinor | 12.5%market | +0.9pp |
P
14.7
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.0pp | 1.040xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
10.3%Valinor | 9.1%market | +0.9pp |
P
15.2
F
15.5
V
10.3
|
5.2pp | 1.018xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 12.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
13.8
F
15.5
V
13.4
|
2.2pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 695 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
12.2%Valinor | 11.2%market | +0.6pp |
P
16.3
F
15.5
V
12.2
|
4.1pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 13.5%market | +0.5pp |
P
14.2
F
12.2
V
14.5
|
2.3pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 7 |
9.2%Valinor | 8.5%market | +0.4pp |
P
11.5
F
11.4
V
9.2
|
2.3pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 13.3%market | +0.3pp |
P
17.4
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
3.4pp | 1.131xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
14.1%Valinor | 13.4%market | +0.2pp |
P
13.6
F
13.6
V
14.1
|
0.5pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.2%market | -0.2pp |
P
17.8
F
15.5
V
13.5
|
4.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 5 |
12.5%Valinor | 12.3%market | -0.3pp |
P
12.5
F
12.2
V
12.5
|
0.3pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 680 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
15.6%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.3pp |
P
17.5
F
15.5
V
15.6
|
2.0pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 24 | IN | SD vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 6 |
9.0%Valinor | 9.2%market | -0.5pp |
P
11.5
F
12.2
V
9.0
|
3.2pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 945 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2 |
12.5%Valinor | --market | -0.9pp |
P
15.2
F
13.6
V
12.5
|
2.8pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6 |
10.5%Valinor | 11.0%market | -1.0pp |
P
17.1
F
15.5
V
10.5
|
6.6pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 775 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | AZ vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3 |
8.8%Valinor | 9.5%market | -1.1pp |
P
13.5
F
13.6
V
8.8
|
4.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 915 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
James Wood
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 16.2%market | -1.3pp |
P
17.4
F
22.3
V
15.6
|
6.7pp | 1.131xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
14.6
|
0.5pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 30 | IN | TB vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
11.8%Valinor | --market | -1.5pp |
P
16.1
F
22.3
V
11.8
|
10.4pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5 |
13.3%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.5pp |
P
13.0
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
1.9pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 14.4%market | -1.5pp |
P
16.2
F
22.3
V
13.4
|
8.9pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
16.8%Valinor | 17.7%market | -1.5pp |
P
16.1
F
13.4
V
16.8
|
3.4pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 4 |
12.8%Valinor | --market | -1.6pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
12.8
|
2.2pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 14.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
17.6
F
15.5
V
13.4
|
4.2pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Ryan Jeffers
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 6 |
11.2%Valinor | 12.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
12.8
F
12.2
V
11.2
|
1.6pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 37 | IN | TB vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 5 |
12.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | -1.7pp |
P
13.9
F
12.2
V
12.5
|
1.7pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 15.7%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.2pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | TOR vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 16.4%market | -1.8pp |
P
15.3
F
15.5
V
15.2
|
0.4pp | 1.018xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
13.3%Valinor | 14.8%market | -1.9pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
13.3
|
0.4pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.1pp |
P
18.2
F
22.3
V
15.2
|
7.1pp | 1.040xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.5%market | -2.4pp |
P
17.4
F
15.5
V
14.7
|
2.7pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
13.0%Valinor | 15.0%market | -2.5pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
13.0
|
2.8pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3 |
14.0%Valinor | 16.0%market | -2.6pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
14.0
|
3.8pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6 |
11.0%Valinor | 13.1%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
11.0
|
3.2pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 46 | Lineup pending | KC vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 3 |
15.1%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.6pp |
P
17.5
F
22.3
V
15.1
|
7.1pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 47 | Lineup pending | KC vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 1 |
15.1%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
1.0pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1 |
13.2%Valinor | 15.3%market | -2.7pp |
P
17.1
F
15.5
V
13.2
|
3.9pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 13.0%market | -2.7pp |
P
13.4
F
8.6
V
10.7
|
4.8pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 645 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4 |
12.7%Valinor | 14.9%market | -2.7pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
12.7
|
2.3pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
15.1%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.2pp |
P
16.3
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
1.4pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 52 | Lineup pending | AZ vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5 |
10.6%Valinor | 13.7%market | -3.6pp |
P
11.9
F
9.6
V
10.6
|
2.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 17.2%market | -3.8pp |
P
17.2
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
3.1pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 25.1%market | -10.7pp |
P
14.2
F
9.6
V
15.3
|
5.7pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 285 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1 |
18.3%Valinor | 29.3%market | -12.0pp |
P
16.2
F
15.5
V
18.3
|
2.8pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 230 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
18.1%Valinor | 29.3%market | -12.2pp |
P
15.5
F
15.5
V
18.1
|
2.6pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 230 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
8.2
F
7.4
V
13.1
|
5.6pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 1 |
13.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.0pp |
P
8.3
F
8.6
V
13.0
|
4.6pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
12.8%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.8pp |
P
7.8
F
8.6
V
12.8
|
5.0pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
12.3%Valinor | 8.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
9.4
F
9.3
V
12.3
|
3.1pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 7 |
9.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.0pp |
P
8.4
F
7.4
V
9.0
|
1.6pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 | IN | TB vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
7.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.3pp |
P
4.9
F
0.0
V
7.7
|
7.7pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 6 |
9.3%Valinor | 9.3%market | -0.4pp |
P
9.3
F
11.4
V
9.3
|
2.1pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 930 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5 |
13.1%Valinor | 13.2%market | -0.6pp |
P
14.7
F
14.9
V
13.1
|
1.8pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 14.5%market | -0.7pp |
P
14.9
F
13.6
V
14.3
|
1.3pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
16.5%Valinor | 17.4%market | -1.6pp |
P
17.0
F
15.5
V
16.5
|
1.5pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.6%market | -1.9pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
14.2
|
2.0pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
14.0%Valinor | 15.6%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.3
F
15.5
V
14.0
|
2.2pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
15.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
1.7pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.3pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
14.7
|
2.5pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 71 | IN | KC vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 4 |
15.9%Valinor | 17.5%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.3
F
14.9
V
15.9
|
1.0pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1 |
15.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.5pp |
P
16.3
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.4pp | 1.018xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 73 | IN | SD vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3 |
12.5%Valinor | 14.8%market | -2.8pp |
P
13.6
F
9.3
V
12.5
|
4.3pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
14.9%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.8pp |
P
14.1
F
12.2
V
14.9
|
2.7pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4 |
14.9%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.8pp |
P
14.3
F
12.2
V
14.9
|
2.7pp | 1.018xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
Triple
|
COL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 17.4%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.4
F
15.5
V
15.1
|
0.4pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
13.7%Valinor | 16.2%market | -3.1pp |
P
12.6
F
12.2
V
13.7
|
1.5pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
14.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.2pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
14.5
|
2.3pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 5 |
12.7%Valinor | 15.5%market | -3.4pp |
P
12.4
F
13.4
V
12.7
|
1.0pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 1 |
13.6%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.7pp |
P
15.9
F
15.5
V
13.6
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3 |
15.5%Valinor | 18.6%market | -3.7pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
1.3pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 82 | IN | LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4 |
14.7%Valinor | 17.9%market | -3.8pp |
P
14.2
F
12.2
V
14.7
|
2.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
15.4%Valinor | 18.8%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
15.4
|
0.6pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 84 | IN | NYY vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5 |
15.2%Valinor | 18.6%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.7
F
15.5
V
15.2
|
0.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3 |
13.3%Valinor | 16.8%market | -4.1pp |
P
12.1
F
11.4
V
13.3
|
1.9pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 6 |
11.9%Valinor | 15.7%market | -4.3pp |
P
14.3
F
15.5
V
11.9
|
3.6pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
14.4%Valinor | 18.2%market | -4.4pp |
P
15.4
F
13.6
V
14.4
|
1.9pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
14.4%Valinor | 18.2%market | -4.5pp |
P
16.7
F
15.5
V
14.4
|
2.3pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
15.8%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.3pp |
P
16.0
F
15.5
V
15.8
|
0.4pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 90 | IN | SD vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1 |
12.6%Valinor | 17.4%market | -5.4pp |
P
16.2
F
15.5
V
12.6
|
3.5pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 91 | IN | SD vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 19.1%market | -5.5pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
1.1pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2 |
17.1%Valinor | 22.4%market | -6.2pp |
P
16.3
F
13.6
V
17.1
|
3.5pp | 1.140xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 93 | IN | SF vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2 |
14.9%Valinor | 20.3%market | -6.2pp |
P
14.9
F
12.2
V
14.9
|
2.7pp | 0.903xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 2 |
13.1%Valinor | 18.8%market | -6.3pp |
P
15.5
F
15.5
V
13.1
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4 |
13.0%Valinor | 18.8%market | -6.4pp |
P
12.2
F
12.2
V
13.0
|
0.8pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 21.5%market | -6.6pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
15.6
|
3.4pp | 1.028xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 21.2%market | -6.8pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
1.5pp | 1.114xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Max Muncy
LAD
IN
Triple
|
LAD vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6 |
12.4%Valinor | 18.8%market | -7.0pp |
P
13.5
F
12.2
V
12.4
|
1.3pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 99 | IN | AZ vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1 |
11.5%Valinor | 17.9%market | -7.0pp |
P
16.2
F
15.5
V
11.5
|
4.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs DETCasey Mize · slot 4 |
12.5%Valinor | 19.1%market | -7.3pp |
P
14.0
F
14.9
V
12.5
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3 |
14.3%Valinor | 21.2%market | -7.6pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
14.3
|
2.3pp | 1.063xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
Lineup pending
Triple
|
MIN vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.0pp |
P
15.6
F
15.5
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 0.968xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 103 | Lineup pending Triple | NYY vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 21.7%market | -8.9pp |
P
13.5
F
14.9
V
13.6
|
1.4pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2 |
12.1%Valinor | 20.5%market | -9.2pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
12.1
|
2.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 105 | IN | TB vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
12.5%Valinor | 21.5%market | -9.7pp |
P
14.7
F
15.5
V
12.5
|
3.0pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
Data context
781 sample flagsStatus1765roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple5cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.