Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-09-05 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-09-05

0 activated plays

Gap rows 339

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Older: 2026-09-04

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-30 2026-08-29

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Ezequiel Tovar

Strong

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore

Value Score 34.4

Odds / Gap +645 / +7.36%

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.088x

Value Rank #2

Bobby Witt Jr.

Play

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer

Value Score 33.9

Odds / Gap +470 / +4.68%

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.063x

Value Rank #3

Vinnie Pasquantino

Play

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer

Value Score 33.2

Odds / Gap +475 / +4.70%

1+ HR 22.1%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.063x

Value Rank #4

Trea Turner

Play

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez

Value Score 31.2

Odds / Gap +555 / +6.16%

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.034x

Value Rank #5

Brenton Doyle

Play

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore

Value Score 29.9

Odds / Gap +655 / +6.76%

1+ HR 20.0%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.088x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.89%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+7.89%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+6.18%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-10.71%

29.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Aaron Judge

NYY vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 2

Strong

Best Gap +7.81%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +215 / U -255

+7.81%

30.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +230 / U -280

+5.96%

29.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +220 / U --

-10.89%

31.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan India

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +7.68%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +920 / U -1485

+7.68%

9.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +905 / U --

+7.53%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +900 / U -1570

+7.48%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+7.36%

12.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +640 / U -905

+7.27%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+7.27%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.4

Nick Kurtz

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.35%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 16.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+7.35%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

+6.01%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-10.57%

27.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Alec Bohm

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.29%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +775 / U -1155

+7.29%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1225

+7.16%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+7.16%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jordan Beck

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 7

Play

Best Gap +6.84%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +870 / U -1375

+6.84%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1455

+6.73%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +860 / U --

+6.73%

10.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Brenton Doyle

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+6.76%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+6.76%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +655 / U --

+6.76%

13.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willi Castro

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +875 / U -1380

+6.76%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +865 / U --

+6.66%

10.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +860 / U -1460

+6.60%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.7

Trea Turner

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+6.16%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -745

+6.05%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+6.05%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Carlos Correa

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.14%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1155

+6.14%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+6.07%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+6.07%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.02%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+6.02%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+6.02%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+5.94%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1

Jarren Duran

BOS vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+5.96%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+5.96%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+5.96%

12.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.92%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+5.92%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

+5.92%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+5.85%

12.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jeremy Peña

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.77%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +765 / U -1145

+5.77%

11.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +760 / U -1215

+5.70%

11.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +760 / U --

+5.70%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.76%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +645 / U -905

+5.76%

13.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +645 / U -960

+5.76%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.67%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.59%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 16.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +285 / U -345

+5.59%

25.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +295 / U -370

+4.40%

24.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +290 / U --

-8.76%

25.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.54%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+5.54%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+5.46%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+5.46%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yandy Díaz

TB vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.46%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -825

+5.46%

14.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +570 / U -775

+5.34%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

+5.34%

14.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan Aranda

TB vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+5.37%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -980

+5.37%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+5.29%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nick Castellanos

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.13%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+5.13%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -740

+5.02%

14.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+5.02%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8

Lane Thomas

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.94%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+4.94%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+4.94%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+4.94%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cj Abrams

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.77%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+4.77%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+4.66%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+4.66%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Roman Anthony

BOS vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +4.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+4.70%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+4.70%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+4.62%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+4.70%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+4.39%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+4.39%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.69%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+4.69%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+4.69%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.60%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.68%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+4.68%

16.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -600

+4.52%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+4.52%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cedric Mullins

TB vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.66%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -835

+4.66%

13.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +605 / U -885

+4.66%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+4.66%

14.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.63%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+4.63%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+4.49%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+4.44%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Evan Carter

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1175

+4.56%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +775 / U -1245

+4.49%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +775 / U --

+4.49%

11.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wyatt Langford

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+4.52%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+4.41%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+4.41%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brandon Nimmo

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.38%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -715

+4.38%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+4.25%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +505 / U -670

+4.11%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.28%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+4.28%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+4.28%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+4.19%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ian Happ

CHC vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +4.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+4.09%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+3.97%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+3.97%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.07%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 18.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +280 / U -335

+4.07%

25.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +290 / U -365

+2.59%

24.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +285 / U --

-7.05%

26.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Colson Montgomery

CWS vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.03%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 16.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+4.03%

22.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -430

+2.90%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-7.29%

23.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.01%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+4.01%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+3.88%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+3.76%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.96%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+3.87%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.87%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+3.89%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+3.89%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+3.89%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jakob Marsee

MIA vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.81%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +855 / U -1340

+3.81%

10.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +845 / U -1415

+3.70%

10.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +845 / U --

+3.70%

10.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Miguel Andujar

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +965 / U -1600

+3.72%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +950 / U --

+3.59%

9.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +945 / U -1690

+3.54%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.5

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.41%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+3.32%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.32%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -890

+3.36%

13.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +635 / U -945

+3.36%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +635 / U --

+3.36%

13.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1150

+3.36%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+3.29%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+3.29%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.29%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+3.29%

13.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +600 / U -875

+3.29%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +595 / U --

+3.19%

14.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jose Altuve

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.24%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+3.24%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+3.11%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+2.99%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.0

Jj Bleday

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.01%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +650 / U -970

+3.01%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +645 / U -910

+2.92%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +645 / U --

+2.92%

13.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.89%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +320 / U -390

+2.89%

23.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +330 / U -420

+1.71%

22.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +325 / U --

-6.01%

23.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.88%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1710

+2.88%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+2.72%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1805

+2.63%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.1

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+2.78%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+2.70%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+2.70%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jackson Merrill

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +2.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -800

+2.70%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

+2.58%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

+2.58%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Joc Pederson

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.69%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -830

+2.69%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -780

+2.59%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+2.59%

14.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.66%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+2.66%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+2.50%

18.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

+2.34%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shea Langeliers

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +2.65%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 14.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -470

+2.65%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +390 / U -505

+1.64%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-5.94%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 12.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +880 / U -1395

+2.60%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+2.49%

10.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +865 / U -1475

+2.44%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.5

Freddie Freeman

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.59%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+2.59%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+2.45%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -640

+2.31%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ramón Laureano

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.55%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+2.55%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -740

+2.44%

14.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+2.44%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alex Bregman

CHC vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +2.53%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -795

+2.53%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

+2.41%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

+2.41%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -630

+2.42%

17.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +460 / U --

+2.26%

17.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -590

+2.10%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.34%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+2.34%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+2.20%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+2.20%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rob Refsnyder

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

+2.27%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +690 / U -1060

+2.19%

12.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

+2.19%

12.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Agustín Ramírez

MIA vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+2.25%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+2.14%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+2.14%

14.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adolis García

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.14%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+2.14%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+1.97%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+1.79%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.01%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +955 / U -1570

+2.01%

9.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +935 / U --

+1.83%

9.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +930 / U -1655

+1.78%

9.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Christian Yelich

MIL vs CIN | Andrew Abbott | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.95%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+1.95%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+1.82%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+1.82%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.87%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+1.87%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+1.54%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+1.54%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Isaac Paredes

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.87%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+1.87%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -700

+1.74%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+1.74%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brent Rooker

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.77%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -450

+1.77%

21.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -480

+0.83%

20.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +365 / U --

-5.10%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

+1.69%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

+1.57%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+1.57%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

George Springer

TOR vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.65%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.65%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+1.34%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+1.34%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+1.63%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+1.52%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+1.52%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Junior Caminero

TB vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.53%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+1.53%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

+0.54%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-4.82%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Caballero

NYY vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.52%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1130 / U -2055

+1.52%

7.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1100 / U --

+1.32%

8.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1090 / U -2165

+1.25%

8.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.9

Chandler Simpson

TB vs TEX | Jacob deGrom | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 3.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.26%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.76%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-4.76%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.5

Mookie Betts

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+1.24%

15.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+1.11%

16.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -690

+0.98%

15.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -410

+1.18%

22.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -440

+0.09%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-4.56%

23.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cody Bellinger

NYY vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.00%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+1.00%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.86%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+0.72%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Walker

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.99%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

+0.99%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+0.83%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

+0.66%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Tena

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.85%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.85%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.85%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.85%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryce Harper

PHI vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.84%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +435 / U -580

+0.84%

18.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +430 / U --

+0.66%

18.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +425 / U -540

+0.48%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.82%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.82%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.82%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.82%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.6

Manny Machado

SD vs NYY | Carlos Rodón | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.80%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -550

+0.80%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

+0.61%

19.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -515

+0.42%

19.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

James Wood

WSH vs LAD | Tyler Glasnow | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.77%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

+0.77%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

+0.47%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

+0.47%

17.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.67%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+0.67%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+0.54%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+0.41%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.66%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.66%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+0.51%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.35%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.56%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+0.56%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+0.42%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.42%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs BAL | Chris Bassitt | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+0.49%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+0.36%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+0.36%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Xavier Edwards

MIA vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 4.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.26%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.24%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-3.76%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.6

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +355 / U -445

+0.19%

21.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-0.77%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-3.58%

21.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Max Muncy

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +0.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

+0.19%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -565

-0.64%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-3.55%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Steven Kwan

CLE vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1060 / U -1850

+0.12%

8.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1035 / U --

-0.07%

8.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1025 / U -1950

-0.15%

8.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.15%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

-0.15%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-0.31%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-0.31%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Michael Busch

CHC vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

-0.20%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

-0.37%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -550

-0.55%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

-0.26%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

-0.43%

18.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

-0.61%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.39%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.39%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.39%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.2

Tyler Soderstrom

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.40%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

-0.40%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

-0.51%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

-0.51%

14.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Kyle Tucker

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.47%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

-0.47%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

-0.65%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

-0.83%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Josh Naylor

SEA vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.49%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

-0.49%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

-0.62%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

-0.62%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Lawrence Butler

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.54%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +545 / U -775

-0.54%

14.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +540 / U -725

-0.66%

15.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +540 / U --

-0.66%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.56%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -560

-0.56%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-0.75%

19.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -525

-0.94%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jacob Wilson

ATH vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.64%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1005 / U -1700

-0.64%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +985 / U --

-0.81%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +980 / U -1795

-0.85%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.1

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -505

-0.69%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-0.90%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -470

-1.12%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

-0.71%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

-1.70%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-2.58%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.04%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

-1.04%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-1.41%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-1.41%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corey Seager

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.05%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-1.05%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-1.30%

22.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-1.56%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Teoscar Hernández

LAD vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.09%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -605

-1.09%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

-1.26%

18.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

-1.43%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs SD | Robbie Ray | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -590

-1.19%

17.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +465 / U -630

-1.98%

17.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +460 / U --

-2.18%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -1.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.20%

17.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-1.96%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-2.32%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

José Ramírez

CLE vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -485

-1.24%

19.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +395 / U -520

-1.87%

19.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +390 / U --

-2.08%

20.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-1.24%

20.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-1.69%

21.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-1.70%

21.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Burger

TEX vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-1.32%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -570

-1.86%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-2.04%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs LAA | Yusei Kikuchi | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.37%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.37%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-1.37%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.6

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.60%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 6.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-1.60%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-1.60%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-1.60%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.3

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 461

Latest Date 2026-09-05

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-09-05 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	339 matched 0 unmatched	12 / 68 / 75 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Ezequiel Tovar \| 34.4	-- Signals --
2026-09-04 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	303 matched 0 unmatched	7 / 77 / 41 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bobby Witt Jr. \| 34.3	-- Signals --
2026-09-03 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	126 matched 0 unmatched	3 / 34 / 32 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Jarren Duran \| 39.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-02 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	276 matched 0 unmatched	18 / 77 / 58 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 53.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-01 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	273 matched 0 unmatched	28 / 51 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-31 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	213 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 74 / 57 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-30 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	312 matched 0 unmatched	36 / 66 / 93 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Jarren Duran \| 50.4	-- Signals --
2026-08-29 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	237 matched 18 unmatched	6 / 44 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Freddie Freeman \| 40.0	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%