Mithrandir Metrics

HR BOARD 2026-09-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups

Lane Health 2026-09-04

Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market

#	Player	Matchup	Sim	Implied	Gap	Three lanes · P/F/V	Spread	Park	Weather	Recent	Best line
01	Geraldo Perdomo AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	9.3%market	+4.1pp	P 13.5 F 13.4 V 10.7	2.7pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
02	Jonathan Aranda TB Lineup pending	TB vs TEXTrevor Williams · slot 3	16.1%Fangorn	12.7%market	+3.4pp	P 15.0 F 16.1 V 11.9	4.2pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
03	Jonathan India KC IL60	KC vs TORJameson Taillon · slot 6	12.0%Fangorn	9.5%market	+2.5pp	P 10.8 F 12.0 V 12.4	1.6pp	1.100xHR pf	Neutralweather	Strong Damageform	DraftKings 920 avg 3 books
04	Jahmai Jones DET Lineup pending	DET vs CLELogan Allen · slot 2	16.1%Fangorn	13.6%market	+2.5pp	P 17.1 F 16.1 V 14.9	2.2pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
05	Evan Carter TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6	13.4%Fangorn	11.0%market	+2.5pp	P 14.4 F 13.4 V 9.4	5.0pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
06	Jakob Marsee MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2	11.7%Fangorn	9.4%market	+2.4pp	P 10.3 F 11.7 V 10.8	1.4pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 930 avg 3 books
07	Willi Castro COL Lineup pending	COL vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1	12.0%Fangorn	9.8%market	+2.2pp	P 10.5 F 12.0 V 8.8	3.3pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
08	Steven Kwan CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs DETKeider Montero · slot 2	10.8%Fangorn	8.7%market	+2.1pp	P 8.7 F 10.8 V 9.5	2.1pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
09	Carlos Correa HOU IL60	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 6	13.2%Fangorn	11.1%market	+2.1pp	P 11.9 F 13.2 V 8.7	4.5pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
10	Jeremy Peña HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1	13.2%Fangorn	11.2%market	+2.0pp	P 12.8 F 13.2 V 10.6	2.6pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
11	Yandy Díaz TB Lineup pending	TB vs TEXTrevor Williams · slot 2	16.1%Fangorn	14.2%market	+1.9pp	P 15.2 F 16.1 V 14.3	1.8pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
12	Ryan Mountcastle BAL IL60	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 7	12.0%Fangorn	10.4%market	+1.6pp	P 10.3 F 12.0 V 12.1	1.8pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 830 avg 3 books
13	Roman Anthony BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 2	13.4%Fangorn	12.0%market	+1.4pp	P 13.6 F 13.4 V 11.3	2.3pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
14	Jarren Duran BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 1	13.2%Fangorn	11.8%market	+1.4pp	P 14.2 F 13.2 V 9.9	4.2pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
15	Edouard Julien COL OUT	COL vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6	12.0%Fangorn	10.9%market	+1.2pp	P 10.3 F 12.0 V 7.6	4.4pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
16	Alec Bohm PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs ATLChris Sale · slot 5	12.0%Fangorn	11.1%market	+1.0pp	P 10.4 F 12.0 V 6.8	5.2pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 775 avg 3 books
17	Iván Herrera STL Lineup pending	STL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2	13.4%Fangorn	12.5%market	+0.9pp	P 15.2 F 13.4 V 11.6	3.6pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
18	Andrew Benintendi CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4	13.2%Fangorn	13.5%market	-0.3pp	P 12.5 F 13.2 V 8.5	4.7pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 640 avg 3 books
19	Alec Burleson STL Lineup pending	STL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	13.8%market	-0.4pp	P 13.7 F 13.4 V 12.3	1.4pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
20	Adley Rutschman BAL Lineup pending	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5	11.7%Fangorn	12.4%market	-0.7pp	P 10.5 F 11.7 V 12.0	1.6pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
21	Bo Naylor CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs DETKeider Montero · slot 4	13.2%Fangorn	13.9%market	-0.7pp	P 12.9 F 13.2 V 11.4	1.8pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
22	Brenton Doyle COL Lineup pending	COL vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5	11.7%Fangorn	12.5%market	-0.8pp	P 11.0 F 11.7 V 9.7	2.0pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
23	Daniel Schneemann CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs DETKeider Montero · slot 6	10.3%Fangorn	11.1%market	-0.8pp	P 11.1 F 10.3 V 8.7	2.4pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
24	Lane Thomas KC Lineup pending	KC vs TORJameson Taillon · slot 5	11.7%Fangorn	13.0%market	-1.2pp	P 10.4 F 11.7 V 18.9	8.6pp	1.100xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
25	Ezequiel Tovar COL Lineup pending	COL vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4	11.7%Fangorn	13.1%market	-1.4pp	P 11.9 F 11.7 V 10.1	1.8pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 665 avg 3 books
26	Vinnie Pasquantino KC Lineup pending	KC vs TORJameson Taillon · slot 3	16.1%Fangorn	17.7%market	-1.6pp	P 16.7 F 16.1 V 20.8	4.6pp	1.100xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
27	Cedric Mullins TB Lineup pending	TB vs TEXTrevor Williams · slot 5	12.6%Fangorn	14.2%market	-1.6pp	P 12.9 F 12.6 V 12.4	0.5pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
28	Wyatt Langford TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1	13.4%Fangorn	15.0%market	-1.6pp	P 14.7 F 13.4 V 13.9	1.3pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
29	Heriberto Hernández MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 6	10.7%Fangorn	12.5%market	-1.8pp	P 10.3 F 10.7 V 10.0	0.7pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
30	Ozzie Albies ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5	12.0%Fangorn	14.1%market	-2.1pp	P 11.4 F 12.0 V 13.7	2.4pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
31	Joc Pederson TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5	12.6%Fangorn	14.8%market	-2.2pp	P 10.7 F 12.6 V 13.9	3.2pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
32	Carlos Santana AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 5	11.7%Fangorn	14.2%market	-2.5pp	P 11.3 F 11.7 V 13.1	1.8pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
33	Jose Altuve HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3	13.2%Fangorn	15.8%market	-2.6pp	P 14.4 F 13.2 V 15.1	2.0pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
34	Agustín Ramírez MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4	12.6%Fangorn	15.3%market	-2.7pp	P 13.2 F 12.6 V 11.5	1.7pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
35	Trea Turner PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs ATLChris Sale · slot 1	12.5%Fangorn	15.4%market	-2.9pp	P 13.6 F 12.5 V 10.9	2.7pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
36	Brandon Nimmo TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	16.4%market	-3.0pp	P 15.0 F 13.4 V 14.9	1.6pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
37	Ian Happ CHC Lineup pending	CHC vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4	12.5%Fangorn	15.5%market	-3.0pp	P 12.6 F 12.5 V 12.1	0.5pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
38	Bobby Witt Jr. KC Lineup pending	KC vs TORJameson Taillon · slot 1	13.4%Fangorn	17.7%market	-4.3pp	P 15.1 F 13.4 V 20.7	7.3pp	1.100xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
39	Salvador Perez KC Lineup pending	KC vs TORJameson Taillon · slot 4	13.4%Fangorn	18.0%market	-4.6pp	P 14.5 F 13.4 V 20.3	6.8pp	1.100xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
40	Corbin Carroll AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 1	13.4%Fangorn	18.4%market	-4.9pp	P 15.5 F 13.4 V 14.6	2.1pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
41	Edgar Quero CWS OUT	CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6	10.8%Fangorn	7.7%market	+3.1pp	P 7.5 F 10.8 V 5.4	5.4pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
42	Xavier Edwards MIA IL10	MIA vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1	9.7%Fangorn	7.7%market	+2.0pp	P 6.2 F 9.7 V 10.4	4.2pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
43	Miguel Andujar SD IL10	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 6	11.0%Fangorn	9.1%market	+1.9pp	P 7.6 F 11.0 V 6.4	4.6pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 965 avg 3 books
44	Keibert Ruiz WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs LADBlake Snell · slot 5	10.7%Fangorn	9.7%market	+1.0pp	P 7.2 F 10.7 V 7.2	3.5pp	0.950xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
45	Trevor Larnach MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 7	12.0%Fangorn	12.5%market	-0.5pp	P 10.5 F 12.0 V 7.7	4.3pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
46	Nico Hoerner CHC Lineup pending	CHC vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1	7.2%Fangorn	8.0%market	-0.8pp	P 5.3 F 7.2 V 10.8	5.5pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
47	Tyler Soderstrom ATH IL10	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5	13.4%Fangorn	14.7%market	-1.3pp	P 14.0 F 13.4 V 12.0	2.0pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
48	Dansby Swanson CHC IL10	CHC vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 6	12.0%Fangorn	13.6%market	-1.6pp	P 11.4 F 12.0 V 8.8	3.2pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 635 avg 3 books
49	Cj Abrams WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs LADBlake Snell · slot 1	12.0%Fangorn	13.9%market	-1.9pp	P 11.3 F 12.0 V 10.0	2.0pp	0.950xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
50	Ramón Laureano SD IL60	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 5	13.2%Fangorn	15.4%market	-2.2pp	P 12.1 F 13.2 V 10.6	2.5pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
51	Chase Meidroth CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 1	5.7%Fangorn	8.0%market	-2.3pp	P 4.6 F 5.7 V 9.0	4.4pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
52	Lawrence Butler ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4	13.2%Fangorn	15.6%market	-2.5pp	P 12.6 F 13.2 V 12.7	0.6pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
53	Wilyer Abreu BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 4	13.4%Fangorn	16.3%market	-2.8pp	P 14.0 F 13.4 V 14.7	1.3pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
54	Ben Rice NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 6	13.2%Fangorn	16.3%market	-3.1pp	P 11.4 F 13.2 V 11.9	1.8pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
55	Alex Bregman CHC Lineup pending	CHC vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5	12.0%Fangorn	15.3%market	-3.3pp	P 10.8 F 12.0 V 12.4	1.6pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
56	Willson Contreras BOS IL10	BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 3	12.5%Fangorn	15.9%market	-3.3pp	P 13.6 F 12.5 V 13.8	1.3pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
57	Isaac Paredes HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 5	12.5%Fangorn	16.0%market	-3.5pp	P 11.4 F 12.5 V 13.9	2.5pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
58	Josh Bell MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4	12.0%Fangorn	15.5%market	-3.5pp	P 11.5 F 12.0 V 11.2	0.8pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
59	James Wood WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs LADBlake Snell · slot 2	13.2%Fangorn	16.7%market	-3.5pp	P 12.6 F 13.2 V 11.1	2.1pp	0.950xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
60	Daylen Lile WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs LADBlake Snell · slot 3	7.2%Fangorn	10.9%market	-3.7pp	P 9.7 F 7.2 V 8.0	2.5pp	0.950xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 820 avg 3 books
61	Nick Castellanos SD Lineup pending	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 4	11.7%Fangorn	15.4%market	-3.7pp	P 10.9 F 11.7 V 10.4	1.3pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
62	Riley Greene DET Lineup pending	DET vs CLELogan Allen · slot 4	13.4%Fangorn	17.4%market	-4.0pp	P 13.9 F 13.4 V 16.0	2.5pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
63	Royce Lewis MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5	11.7%Fangorn	15.8%market	-4.1pp	P 8.7 F 11.7 V 12.6	3.9pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
64	Spencer Torkelson DET Lineup pending	DET vs CLELogan Allen · slot 5	13.4%Fangorn	17.7%market	-4.3pp	P 14.9 F 13.4 V 16.9	3.5pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
65	Cody Bellinger NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 3	13.2%Fangorn	17.7%market	-4.5pp	P 14.1 F 13.2 V 12.6	1.6pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
66	Hunter Goodman COL Lineup pending	COL vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2	13.4%Fangorn	18.0%market	-4.6pp	P 13.0 F 13.4 V 11.8	1.7pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
67	Kyle Manzardo CLE OUT	CLE vs DETKeider Montero · slot 3	12.5%Fangorn	17.5%market	-5.0pp	P 13.4 F 12.5 V 12.2	1.2pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
68	Fernando Tatis Jr. SD Lineup pending	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 1	12.6%Fangorn	17.9%market	-5.3pp	P 12.5 F 12.6 V 11.1	1.6pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
69	Michael Busch CHC Lineup pending	CHC vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	18.7%market	-5.3pp	P 13.4 F 13.4 V 14.5	1.1pp	0.961xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
70	Taylor Ward BAL Lineup pending	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 4	13.4%Fangorn	18.7%market	-5.3pp	P 14.3 F 13.4 V 14.9	1.5pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
71	Austin Riley ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4	12.0%Fangorn	17.5%market	-5.5pp	P 10.8 F 12.0 V 14.7	3.9pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
72	Jackson Merrill SD Lineup pending	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 3	9.7%Fangorn	15.3%market	-5.5pp	P 10.2 F 9.7 V 11.0	1.2pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
73	Gunnar Henderson BAL Lineup pending	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1	11.7%Fangorn	17.4%market	-5.6pp	P 11.8 F 11.7 V 14.9	3.2pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
74	Christian Walker HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 4	12.5%Fangorn	18.2%market	-5.7pp	P 13.2 F 12.5 V 15.0	2.4pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
75	Tyler O'Neill BAL IL10	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3	13.2%Fangorn	19.1%market	-5.9pp	P 11.8 F 13.2 V 14.4	2.5pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
76	Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 5	13.2%Fangorn	19.2%market	-6.1pp	P 12.7 F 13.2 V 15.5	2.8pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
77	Adolis García PHI IL60	PHI vs ATLChris Sale · slot 4	12.5%Fangorn	18.7%market	-6.2pp	P 12.1 F 12.5 V 12.1	0.5pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
78	Bryce Harper PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2	12.6%Fangorn	18.9%market	-6.3pp	P 13.2 F 12.6 V 12.6	0.6pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
79	José Ramírez CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs DETKeider Montero · slot 1	13.4%Fangorn	20.4%market	-7.0pp	P 14.6 F 13.4 V 13.8	1.1pp	1.040xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
80	Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1	12.6%Fangorn	20.0%market	-7.4pp	P 12.9 F 12.6 V 15.0	2.4pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
81	Matt Wallner MIN OUT	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2	12.5%Fangorn	20.0%market	-7.5pp	P 11.6 F 12.5 V 12.6	1.1pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
82	Jake Burger TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4	11.7%Fangorn	19.2%market	-7.5pp	P 10.0 F 11.7 V 13.0	3.0pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
83	Manny Machado SD Lineup pending	SD vs NYYMax Fried · slot 2	12.0%Fangorn	19.6%market	-7.6pp	P 11.6 F 12.0 V 12.0	0.4pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
84	Ketel Marte AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 2	13.4%Fangorn	21.1%market	-7.6pp	P 14.4 F 13.4 V 15.3	1.9pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
85	Yordan Alvarez HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2	13.2%Fangorn	20.8%market	-7.7pp	P 12.8 F 13.2 V 15.9	3.0pp	1.077xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
86	Chandler Simpson TB Lineup pending	TB vs TEXTrevor Williams · slot 1	0.0%Fangorn	8.0%market	-8.0pp	P 4.3 F 0.0 V 5.3	5.3pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Strong Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
87	Victor Scott II STL Lineup pending	STL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1	0.0%Fangorn	8.0%market	-8.0pp	P 6.8 F 0.0 V 9.7	9.7pp	1.073xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
88	Byron Buxton MIN IL10	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3	12.6%Fangorn	21.1%market	-8.4pp	P 11.3 F 12.6 V 13.0	1.7pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
89	Junior Caminero TB Lineup pending	TB vs TEXTrevor Williams · slot 4	13.4%Fangorn	22.0%market	-8.6pp	P 13.5 F 13.4 V 13.2	0.4pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
90	Matt Olson ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2	12.0%Fangorn	20.8%market	-8.8pp	P 12.3 F 12.0 V 14.0	2.0pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
91	Giancarlo Stanton NYY IL60	NYY vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4	13.2%Fangorn	22.2%market	-9.1pp	P 11.0 F 13.2 V 13.3	2.3pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
92	Shea Langeliers ATH IL10	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3	11.7%Fangorn	20.8%market	-9.1pp	P 11.7 F 11.7 V 13.3	1.7pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
93	Jacob Wilson ATH IL60	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 6	0.0%Fangorn	9.2%market	-9.2pp	P 7.2 F 0.0 V 7.5	7.5pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
94	Corey Seager TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2	13.2%Fangorn	22.5%market	-9.3pp	P 13.4 F 13.2 V 15.2	2.0pp	1.106xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
95	Brent Rooker ATH IL60	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2	12.0%Fangorn	21.5%market	-9.5pp	P 12.4 F 12.0 V 13.7	1.7pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
96	Luke Keaschall MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1	0.0%Fangorn	11.0%market	-10.9pp	P 8.1 F 0.0 V 9.6	9.6pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 810 avg 3 books
97	Pete Alonso BAL Lineup pending	BAL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 2	12.0%Fangorn	23.8%market	-11.8pp	P 13.5 F 12.0 V 16.3	4.3pp	1.049xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
98	Colson Montgomery CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3	10.7%Fangorn	23.3%market	-12.6pp	P 10.3 F 10.7 V 11.8	1.5pp	0.911xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
99	Kyle Schwarber PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs ATLChris Sale · slot 3	12.5%Fangorn	26.0%market	-13.4pp	P 12.2 F 12.5 V 12.5	0.4pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 285 avg 3 books
100	Nick Kurtz ATH IL60	ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1	10.7%Fangorn	27.0%market	-16.3pp	P 12.4 F 10.7 V 13.5	2.8pp	0.906xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
101	Aaron Judge NYY IL60	NYY vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2	13.2%Fangorn	29.8%market	-16.7pp	P 12.8 F 13.2 V 22.1	9.3pp	0.912xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Top saved signals

5 value rows

01 Bobby Witt Jr.KC vs TOR · FanDuel

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0.0pp 02 Vinnie PasquantinoKC vs TOR · FanDuel

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0.0pp 03 Yandy DíazTB vs TEX · FanDuel

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0.0pp 04 Brandon NimmoTEX vs TB · FanDuel

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0.0pp 05 Corbin CarrollAZ vs HOU · FanDuel

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0.0pp

Data context

840 sample flags

Status2429roster/transaction rows

Lineups0confirmed starters

Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.