Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-05-17 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-05-17
0 activated plays
Gap rows 357
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-05-19 Older: 2026-05-14

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-06-19 2026-06-18 2026-06-17 2026-06-16 2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young

Value Score 49.8
Odds / Gap +590 / +9.26%
1+ HR 23.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.106x

Value Rank #2

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs ATL | Grant Holmes

Value Score 48.7
Odds / Gap +715 / +9.76%
1+ HR 22.0%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.107x

Value Rank #3

Tj Friedl

Strong

CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams

Value Score 46.5
Odds / Gap +655 / +9.17%
1+ HR 22.4%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.181x

Value Rank #4

Andrew Benintendi

Strong

CWS vs CHC | Colin Rea

Value Score 43.9
Odds / Gap +640 / +8.72%
1+ HR 22.2%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.260x

Value Rank #5

Elly De La Cruz

Strong

CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams

Value Score 43.7
Odds / Gap +540 / +7.71%
1+ HR 23.3%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.181x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+9.76%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+9.76%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+9.76%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+9.26%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+9.15%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+9.15%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +9.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1150
+9.17%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+9.10%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+9.10%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +9.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+9.17%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+9.17%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+9.09%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.7
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +8.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+8.72%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+8.72%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+8.72%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +8.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+8.37%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+8.37%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+8.28%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+8.06%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+7.95%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+7.90%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.5
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+7.97%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+7.85%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+7.85%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+7.94%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+7.82%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+7.82%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.6
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+7.87%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+7.75%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+7.75%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+7.85%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+7.77%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+7.77%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+7.71%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+7.58%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+7.46%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+7.68%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+7.54%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+7.49%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -895
+7.37%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+7.37%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+7.27%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.35%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+7.35%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+6.01%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-10.57%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+7.28%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+7.19%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+7.19%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+7.27%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+7.27%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+7.27%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+6.97%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+6.91%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+6.84%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.96%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+6.96%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+6.83%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+6.83%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+6.85%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+6.85%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+6.77%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.79%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+6.79%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+6.79%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.70%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+6.75%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+6.63%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+6.63%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+6.47%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+6.38%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+6.38%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+6.43%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+6.43%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+6.35%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.40%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+6.40%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+6.28%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+6.28%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+6.39%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+6.28%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+6.28%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+6.32%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+6.32%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+6.32%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+6.22%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+6.11%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+6.05%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.9
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+6.09%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+5.93%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+5.88%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.9
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+6.08%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+5.92%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+5.87%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.3
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+6.00%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+6.00%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+6.00%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.96%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+5.96%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+5.89%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+5.89%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.94%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.94%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+4.23%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.76%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+5.90%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+5.79%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+5.74%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.88%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.80%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.80%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+5.73%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+5.63%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+5.63%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+5.70%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+5.70%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+5.70%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.3
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+5.52%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+5.52%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+5.52%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+5.47%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+5.41%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+5.41%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+5.42%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+5.33%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.33%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+5.27%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+5.20%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+5.20%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+5.24%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+5.24%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+5.16%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.7
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+5.19%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+4.89%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+4.89%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+5.08%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+4.94%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+4.89%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+4.98%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+4.84%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+4.84%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+4.97%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+4.86%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+4.86%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.9
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.90%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+4.90%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+3.62%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-7.96%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+4.77%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+4.65%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+4.65%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+4.76%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+4.76%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+4.76%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+4.43%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+4.43%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+4.43%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.3
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+4.38%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+4.23%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+4.07%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.34%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+4.34%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+4.22%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+4.22%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+4.33%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+4.33%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+4.25%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+4.31%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+4.15%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+4.15%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+4.28%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+4.28%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+4.28%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+4.21%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+4.06%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+4.01%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+4.13%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.97%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+3.81%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+4.02%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+3.87%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+3.87%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.91%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.91%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.91%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+3.85%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+3.64%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+3.43%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+3.77%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+3.66%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+3.66%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+3.64%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+3.54%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+3.54%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.64%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.64%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.64%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Fitzgerald headshot

Tyler Fitzgerald
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +730 / U -1075
+3.59%
11.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +730 / U -1140
+3.59%
11.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +725 / U --
+3.52%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.7
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.49%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.49%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+3.36%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+3.24%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+3.47%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+3.30%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+3.13%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs DET | Jack Flaherty | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+3.39%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+3.24%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+3.08%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+3.38%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+3.21%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
+3.03%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.34%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+3.34%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+3.21%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+3.21%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.12%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.12%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+1.78%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-6.34%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.97%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+2.81%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.81%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+2.97%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+2.97%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+2.97%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 104.9
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+2.91%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.78%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+2.65%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+2.91%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+2.76%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+2.60%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.89%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.58%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.58%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.78%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+2.78%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+2.50%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+2.50%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.71%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.57%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.57%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.65%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 14.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+2.65%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
+1.64%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-5.94%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.60%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+2.60%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+2.60%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+2.60%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+2.40%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+2.27%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.27%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+2.24%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+2.05%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+1.86%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -450
+1.99%
21.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -480
+1.05%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-5.32%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.92%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+1.92%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+1.82%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+1.82%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.64%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.47%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.30%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.53%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.37%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.20%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+1.46%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
+0.45%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-4.81%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+1.46%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+1.31%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+1.31%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+1.42%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+1.29%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.29%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+1.40%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.08%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.08%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.39%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.39%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.39%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.1
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+1.30%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+0.84%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.60%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+1.29%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+1.15%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+1.01%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs BOS | Brayan Bello | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+1.11%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
+0.74%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.74%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+1.08%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+0.94%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.94%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.04%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+0.68%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+0.68%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+1.04%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+0.92%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+0.92%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.00%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.84%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+0.68%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.89%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+0.89%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+0.76%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.76%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+0.73%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.26%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-4.02%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+0.60%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+0.39%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.18%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.47%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+0.01%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.23%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs TOR | Kevin Gausman | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
+0.44%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
+0.24%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
+0.03%
19.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 4.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.39%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.11%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-3.89%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.4
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.34%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.34%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.34%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.6
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
+0.19%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-0.03%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.26%
20.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.06%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-0.10%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-0.26%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
-0.07%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.28%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.50%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -770
-0.20%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
-0.32%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
-0.32%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 4.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.27%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.77%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-3.23%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.4
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.31%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
-0.31%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
-0.64%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
-0.64%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
-0.40%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
-0.51%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
-0.51%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.57%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-0.57%
19.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-1.51%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-2.82%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
-0.61%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
-0.78%
--
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
-0.82%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.3
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-0.67%
18.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-1.46%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-2.70%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
-0.79%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
-0.94%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-0.94%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.17%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.96%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.18%
--
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +335 / U -430
-1.29%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-1.56%
--
DraftKings
0.5
O +325 / U -400
-1.70%
22.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs AZ | Michael Soroka | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-1.29%
17.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +460 / U -620
-1.97%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-2.13%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs ATH | Jeffrey Springs | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.47%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.47%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-1.47%
--
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.5

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 396
Latest Date 2026-06-19
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-06-19
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 45 / 85
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 30.8
 --
Signals --
2026-06-18
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 43 / 45
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 52.3
 --
Signals --
2026-06-17
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 225 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 79 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bo Bichette | 55.2
 --
Signals --
2026-06-16
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 336 matched
0 unmatched
 2 / 71 / 92
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 38.7
 --
Signals --
2026-06-15
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 168 matched
0 unmatched
 27 / 29 / 36
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 39.6
 --
Signals --
2026-06-14
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 390 matched
0 unmatched
 53 / 83 / 83
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 55.4
 --
Signals --
2026-06-13
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 53 / 87
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 51.9
 --
Signals --
2026-06-12
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 249 matched
0 unmatched
 24 / 76 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.3
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%